Current election polls and polling data from Gallup

Latest voting intention survey by Gallup for Bulgaria

In the latest voting intention survey for the election in Bulgaria conducted by Gallup, the parties received the following results: GERB 27.8%, Vŭzrazhdane 13.2%, DPS 13.1%, PP 12.4%, BSP 8.6%, APS 6.2%, ITN 5.5%, MECh 4.9% and Velichie 4%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 841 people during the period 20.02.2025 - 20.02.2025.
841 participants
13.02.2025 - 20.02.2025
Gallup
GERB
27.8
+2.1
V
13.2
-2.2
DPS
13.1
+13.1
PP
12.4
+12.4
BSP
8.6
+1.5
APS
6.2
-2.1
ITN
5.5
-0.8
MECh
4.9
+1.2
VEL
4.0
+4.0
Others
4.3
-29.2
This poll is more than 3 months old.

Seats in parliament

240
Majority requires 121 seats
BSP
22
9.2%
APS
15
6.3%
PP
31
12.9%
ITN
13
5.4%
DPS
33
13.8%
GERB
71
29.6%
MECh
12
5%
V
33
13.8%
VEL
10
4.2%
GERB + DPS + Vŭzrazhdane
57.1%
GERB + DPS + PP
56.3%
GERB + Vŭzrazhdane + PP
56.3%
GERB + DPS + APS + ITN
55.0%
GERB + DPS + APS + MECh
54.6%
GERB + PP + APS + ITN
54.2%
GERB + DPS + ITN + MECh
53.8%
GERB + PP + APS + MECh
53.8%
GERB + PP + ITN + MECh
52.9%
GERB + DPS + BSP
52.5%
DPS + Vŭzrazhdane + PP + APS + ITN
GERB + PP + BSP
51.7%
DPS + Vŭzrazhdane + PP + APS + MECh
DPS + Vŭzrazhdane + PP + ITN + MECh
DPS + Vŭzrazhdane + PP + APS + Velichie
GERB + BSP + APS + ITN
50.4%
DPS + Vŭzrazhdane + PP + ITN + Velichie
GERB + DPS + APS
49.6%
DPS + Vŭzrazhdane + PP + MECh + Velichie

55

PolitPro Score

Gallup achieves a score of 55/100 in the PolitPro Score.

What is the PolitPro Score?

The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.

Rating of parties

Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)

Lower
Similar
Higher
APS
Not enough data available
BSP
13
65
22
DPS
5
67
29
GERB
17
61
22
ITN
23
64
14
MECh
Not enough data available
PP
33
50
17
V
0
80
20
VEL
Not enough data available

What are significant differences?

The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.

Accuracy in elections

2.6

Average deviation

On average, party poll results in Gallup pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 2.6 percentage points.

Average Deviation of Pre-Election Polls from the Results of Recent Elections

How is an institute’s accuracy calculated?

The accuracy indicates how closely pre-election polls matched the actual election results.