Latest voting intention survey by Gallup for Bulgaria
In the latest voting intention survey for the election in Bulgaria conducted by Gallup, the parties received the following results: GERB 27.8%, Vŭzrazhdane 13.2%, DPS 13.1%, PP 12.4%, BSP 8.6%, APS 6.2%, ITN 5.5%, MECh 4.9% and Velichie 4%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 841 people during the period 20.02.2025 - 20.02.2025.
841 participants
13.02.2025 - 20.02.2025
Gallup
GERB
27.8
+2.1
V
13.2
-2.2
DPS
13.1
+13.1
PP
12.4
+12.4
BSP
8.6
+1.5
APS
6.2
-2.1
ITN
5.5
-0.8
MECh
4.9
+1.2
VEL
4.0
+4.0
Others
4.3
-29.2
This poll is more than 3 months old.
Seats in parliament
240
Majority requires 121 seats
BSP
22
9.2%
APS
15
6.3%
PP
31
12.9%
ITN
13
5.4%
DPS
33
13.8%
GERB
71
29.6%
MECh
12
5%
V
33
13.8%
VEL
10
4.2%
GERB + DPS + Vŭzrazhdane
GERB + DPS + PP
GERB + Vŭzrazhdane + PP
GERB + DPS + APS + ITN
GERB + DPS + APS + MECh
GERB + PP + APS + ITN
GERB + DPS + ITN + MECh
GERB + PP + APS + MECh
GERB + PP + ITN + MECh
GERB + DPS + BSP
DPS + Vŭzrazhdane + PP + APS + ITN
GERB + PP + BSP
DPS + Vŭzrazhdane + PP + APS + MECh
DPS + Vŭzrazhdane + PP + ITN + MECh
DPS + Vŭzrazhdane + PP + APS + Velichie
GERB + BSP + APS + ITN
DPS + Vŭzrazhdane + PP + ITN + Velichie
GERB + DPS + APS
DPS + Vŭzrazhdane + PP + MECh + Velichie
55
PolitPro Score
Gallup achieves a score of 55/100 in the PolitPro Score.
What is the PolitPro Score?
The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.
Rating of parties
Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)
What are significant differences?
The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.
Accuracy in elections
2.6
Average deviation
On average, party poll results in Gallup pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 2.6 percentage points.
Average Deviation of Pre-Election Polls from the Results of Recent Elections
| Deviation | Election | Rank |
|---|---|---|
|
3.39
|
Parliamentary Election in Bulgarien 2021 | 2/6 |
|
1.78
|
Parliamentary Election in Bulgarien 2021 | 2/3 |
|
2.59
|
Parliamentary Election in Bulgarien 2021 | 2/6 |
How is an institute’s accuracy calculated?
The accuracy indicates how closely pre-election polls matched the actual election results.