Latest voting intention survey by Rego for Bulgaria
In the latest voting intention survey for the election in Bulgaria conducted by Rego, the parties received the following results: BSP 28.2%, GERB 25.5%, ITN 15.7%, DPS 9%, IS.BG 6.9%, DB 5.2%, VMRO 3.1% and Volya 1.5%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 1000 people during the period 28.03.2021 - 28.03.2021.
1000 participants
25.03.2021 - 28.03.2021
Rego
Development since the last election on 27.10.2024
BSP
28.2
±0.0
GERB
25.5
±0.0
ITN
15.7
±0.0
DPS
9.0
±0.0
IS.BG
6.9
±0.0
DB
5.2
±0.0
VMRO
3.1
±0.0
Volya
1.5
±0.0
Others
4.9
±0.0
This poll is more than 3 months old.
Seats in parliament
240
Majority requires 121 seats
IS.BG
18
7.5%
BSP
75
31.3%
ITN
42
17.5%
DPS
24
10%
GERB
68
28.3%
DB
13
5.4%
BSP + GERB
BSP + ITN + DPS
GERB + ITN + DPS
BSP + DPS + IS.BG + DB
GERB + ITN + DB
GERB + DPS + IS.BG + DB
?
PolitPro Score
Rego achieves a score of ?/100 in the PolitPro Score.
What is the PolitPro Score?
The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.
Rating of parties
Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)
What are significant differences?
The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.
Accuracy in elections
3.4
Average deviation
On average, party poll results in Rego pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 3.4 percentage points.
Average Deviation of Pre-Election Polls from the Results of Recent Elections
| Deviation | Election | Rank |
|---|---|---|
|
3.36
|
Parliamentary Election in Bulgarien 2021 | 5/6 |
How is an institute’s accuracy calculated?
The accuracy indicates how closely pre-election polls matched the actual election results.