Bulgaria: Poll by Sova Harris from 03.11.2020

Bulgaria: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
GERB
26.6
-1.1
BSP
25.1
+0.6
ITN
11.4
-4.3
DPS
8.7
-0.5
DB
8.4
+1.4
OP
5.5
+5.5
Volya
3.2
+0.2
Others
11.1
-1.8
Development since the last election on 27.10.2024
GERB
+1.1
BSP
+17.8
ITN
+4.8
DPS
-2.5
DB
New
OP
New
Volya
New
Sova Harris – 1000 respondents – 27.10.2020-03.11.2020

Next election: 2027

The next parliamentary election in Bulgaria is expected to take place in 2027.

Institute often rates BSP higher

In 43% of election polls, Sova Harris rates BSP higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates GERB higher

In 71% of election polls, Sova Harris rates GERB higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates ITN lower

In 33% of election polls Sova Harris rates ITN lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Bulgaria - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Bulgaria from Sova Harris shows the following results: GERB 26.6%, BSP 25.1%, ITN 11.4%, DPS 8.7%, DB 8.4%, Obedineni patrioti 5.5% and Volya 3.2%. If an election were held in Bulgaria this Sunday, BSP might gain the most in voter favorability with +17.8 growth since the last election. DPS, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-2.5) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Galab Donev is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from GERB, BSP and ITN. With 74.2% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Sova Harris. For this purpose, 1000 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 7 days (27.10.2020 - 03.11.2020).

Coalition possibilities

240
Majority requires 121 seats
BSP
71
29.6%
ITN
32
13.3%
DPS
24
10%
GERB
75
31.3%
DB
23
9.6%
OP
15
6.3%
GERB + BSP
60.8%
GERB + ITN + DPS
54.6%
GERB + ITN + DB
54.2%
BSP + ITN + DPS
52.9%
GERB + DPS + DB
50.8%
BSP + DPS + DB
49.2%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Bulgaria was conducted by Sova Harris. The survey took place between 27.10.2020 and 03.11.2020 among 1000 eligible voters. After this election poll would get GERB 26.6%, BSP 25.1%, ITN 11.4%, DPS 8.7%, DB 8.4%, Obedineni patrioti 5.5% and Volya 3.2%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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