Bulgaria
Election trend
Parties

Bulgaria: Poll by AFIS from 17.02.2021

Polling data

GERB
25.2
±0.0
BSP
22.5
±0.0
ITN
14.2
±0.0
DPS
11.5
±0.0
DB
5.6
±0.0
IS.BG
4.1
±0.0
VMRO
3.2
±0.0
Volya
2.0
±0.0
ABV
1.6
±0.0
Ataka
1.6
±0.0
Sonst.
8.5
±0.0
Development since the last election on 02.04.2023
GERB
-0.2
BSP
+13.9
ITN
+10.3
DPS
-1.7
DB
IS.BG
VMRO
Volya
ABV
Ataka
AFIS – 1000 respondents – 12.02.2021-17.02.2021
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Bulgaria is expected to take place in 2027.

Election poll results

Bulgaria - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Bulgaria from AFIS shows the following results: GERB 25.2%, BSP 22.5%, ITN 14.2%, DPS 11.5%, DB 5.6%, IS.BG 4.1%, VMRO 3.2%, Volya 2%, ABV 1.6% and Ataka 1.6%. If an election were held in Bulgaria this Sunday, BSP might gain the most in voter favorability with +13.9 growth since the last election. DPS, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-1.7) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Galab Donev is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from GERB, DB and PP. With 37.0% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by AFIS. For this purpose, 1000 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 5 days (12.02.2021 - 17.02.2021).

Coalition possibilities

240
IS.BG
11
BSP
66
ITN
41
DPS
33
GERB
73
DB
16
Majority requires 121 seats
GERB + ITN + DPS
147
BSP + ITN + DPS
140
GERB + BSP
139
GERB + ITN + DB
130
BSP + DPS + DB + IS.BG
126
GERB + DPS + DB
122

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Bulgaria was conducted by AFIS. The survey took place between 12.02.2021 and 17.02.2021 among 1000 eligible voters. After this election poll would get GERB 25.2%, BSP 22.5%, ITN 14.2%, DPS 11.5%, DB 5.6%, IS.BG 4.1%, VMRO 3.2%, Volya 2%, ABV 1.6% and Ataka 1.6%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.