Bulgaria: Poll by Trend from 14.03.2021

Polling data

GERB
28.8
-0.1
BSP
23.6
-0.5
ITN
12.7
-0.2
DPS
12.1
+1.0
DB
5.9
-0.3
IS.BG
4.1
+0.1
VMRO
4.0
+0.2
Volya
2.5
-0.1
ABV
1.1
+1.1
Ataka
0.8
+0.8
Others
4.4
-2.0
Development since the last election on 27.10.2024
GERB
+3.3
BSP
+16.3
ITN
+6.1
DPS
+0.9
DB
New
IS.BG
New
VMRO
New
Volya
New
ABV
New
Ataka
New
Trend – 1004 respondents – 09.03.2021-14.03.2021

Next election: 2027

The next parliamentary election in Bulgaria is expected to take place in 2027.

Election poll results

Bulgaria - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Bulgaria from Trend shows the following results: GERB 28.8%, BSP 23.6%, ITN 12.7%, DPS 12.1%, DB 5.9%, IS.BG 4.1%, VMRO 4%, Volya 2.5%, ABV 1.1% and Ataka 0.8%. If an election were held in Bulgaria this Sunday, BSP might gain the most in voter favorability with +16.3 growth since the last election. DPS, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (+0.9) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Galab Donev is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from GERB, DB and PP. With 38.1% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Trend. For this purpose, 1004 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 5 days (09.03.2021 - 14.03.2021).

Coalition possibilities

240
Majority requires 121 seats
IS.BG
10
4.5%
BSP
63
25.9%
ITN
33
13.9%
DPS
32
13.3%
GERB
77
31.6%
DB
15
6.5%
VMRO
10
4.4%
GERB + ITN + DPS
59.2%
GERB + BSP
58.3%
BSP + ITN + DPS
53.3%
GERB + ITN + DB
52.1%
GERB + DPS + DB
51.7%
GERB + ITN + VMRO
50.0%
BSP + DPS + DB + IS.BG
50.0%
GERB + DPS + VMRO
49.6%
GERB + DPS + IS.BG
49.6%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Bulgaria was conducted by Trend. The survey took place between 09.03.2021 and 14.03.2021 among 1004 eligible voters. After this election poll would get GERB 28.8%, BSP 23.6%, ITN 12.7%, DPS 12.1%, DB 5.9%, IS.BG 4.1%, VMRO 4%, Volya 2.5%, ABV 1.1% and Ataka 0.8%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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