Bulgaria
Election trend
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Bulgaria: Poll by Sova Harris from 16.03.2021

Polling data

GERB
30.7
+4.1
BSP
23.9
-1.2
ITN
11.9
+0.5
DPS
11.5
+2.8
DB
5.6
-2.8
VMRO
4.7
+4.7
IS.BG
4.7
+4.7
Volya
2.4
-0.8
ABV
1.2
+1.2
Sonst.
3.4
-13.2
Development since the last election on 09.06.2024
GERB
+6.7
BSP
+17.0
ITN
+6.1
DPS
-5.1
DB
New
VMRO
New
IS.BG
New
Volya
New
ABV
New
Sova Harris – 1000 respondents – 11.03.2021-16.03.2021

Next election: 2027

The next parliamentary election in Bulgaria is expected to take place in 2027.

Election poll results

Bulgaria - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Bulgaria from Sova Harris shows the following results: GERB 30.7%, BSP 23.9%, ITN 11.9%, DPS 11.5%, DB 5.6%, VMRO 4.7%, IS.BG 4.7%, Volya 2.4% and ABV 1.2%. If an election were held in Bulgaria this Sunday, BSP might gain the most in voter favorability with +17.0 growth since the last election. DPS, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-5.1) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Galab Donev is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from GERB, DB and PP. With 39.0% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Sova Harris. For this purpose, 1000 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 5 days (11.03.2021 - 16.03.2021).

Coalition possibilities

240
IS.BG
12
BSP
62
ITN
31
DPS
30
GERB
79
DB
14
VMRO
12
Majority requires 121 seats
GERB + BSP
141
GERB + ITN + DPS
140
GERB + ITN + DB
124
GERB + DPS + DB
123
BSP + ITN + DPS
123
GERB + ITN + VMRO
122
GERB + DPS + VMRO
121
GERB + DPS + IS.BG
121
BSP + DPS + DB + IS.BG
118

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Bulgaria was conducted by Sova Harris. The survey took place between 11.03.2021 and 16.03.2021 among 1000 eligible voters. After this election poll would get GERB 30.7%, BSP 23.9%, ITN 11.9%, DPS 11.5%, DB 5.6%, VMRO 4.7%, IS.BG 4.7%, Volya 2.4% and ABV 1.2%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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