Bulgaria
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Elections

Bulgaria: Poll by Sova Harris from 16.03.2021

Polling data

GERB
30.7
+4.1
BSP
23.9
-1.2
ITN
11.9
+0.5
DPS
11.5
+2.8
DB
5.6
-2.8
VMRO
4.7
+4.7
IS.BG
4.7
+4.7
Volya
2.4
-0.8
ABV
1.2
+1.2
Others
3.4
-5.5
Development since the last election on 02.04.2023
GERB
+5.3
BSP
+15.3
ITN
+8.0
DPS
-1.7
DB
VMRO
IS.BG
Volya
ABV
Sova Harris – 1000 respondents – 11.03.2021-16.03.2021
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Bulgaria is expected to take place in 2027.
Election poll results

Bulgaria - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Bulgaria from Sova Harris shows the following results: GERB 30.7%, BSP 23.9%, ITN 11.9%, DPS 11.5%, DB 5.6%, VMRO 4.7%, IS.BG 4.7%, Volya 2.4% and ABV 1.2%. If an election were held in Bulgaria this Sunday, BSP might gain the most in voter favorability with +15.3 growth since the last election. DPS, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-1.7) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Galab Donev is currently governing with a Unknown orientation from . With 0.0% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Sova Harris. For this purpose, 1000 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 5 days (11.03.2021 - 16.03.2021).

Coalition possibilities

GERB + BSP
58.7
GERB + ITN + DPS
58.2
GERB + ITN + DB
51.8
GERB + DPS + DB
51.4
GERB + ITN + VMRO
50.9
GERB + DPS + IS.BG
50.5
GERB + DPS + VMRO
50.5
BSP + DPS + DB + IS.BG
49.2

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results
This election poll on the parliamentary election in Bulgaria was conducted by Sova Harris. The survey took place between 11.03.2021 and 16.03.2021 among 1000 eligible voters. After this election poll would get GERB 30.7%, BSP 23.9%, ITN 11.9%, DPS 11.5%, DB 5.6%, VMRO 4.7%, IS.BG 4.7%, Volya 2.4% and ABV 1.2%.
How reliable are election polls?
Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the survey method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.
What should you look out for in election polls?
Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.

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