Bulgaria: Poll by Mediana from 26.03.2021

Bulgaria: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
GERB
27.0
-0.5
BSP
23.0
-1.2
ITN
13.5
-1.7
DPS
11.3
+0.6
IS.BG
6.7
+1.7
DB
4.7
+0.5
VMRO
4.2
+0.2
Volya
4.0
+0.9
ABV
1.6
+0.2
Others
4.0
-0.7
Development since the last election on 27.10.2024
GERB
+1.5
BSP
+15.7
ITN
+6.9
DPS
+0.1
IS.BG
New
DB
New
VMRO
New
Volya
New
ABV
New
Mediana – 1004 respondents – 13.03.2021-26.03.2021

Next election: 2027

The next parliamentary election in Bulgaria is expected to take place in 2027.

Institute often rates BSP higher

In 56% of election polls, Mediana rates BSP higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates ITN higher

In 63% of election polls, Mediana rates ITN higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Bulgaria - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Bulgaria from Mediana shows the following results: GERB 27%, BSP 23%, ITN 13.5%, DPS 11.3%, IS.BG 6.7%, DB 4.7%, VMRO 4.2%, Volya 4% and ABV 1.6%. If an election were held in Bulgaria this Sunday, BSP might gain the most in voter favorability with +15.7 growth since the last election. DPS, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (+0.1) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Galab Donev is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from GERB, BSP and ITN. With 67.6% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Mediana. For this purpose, 1004 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 13 days (13.03.2021 - 26.03.2021).

Coalition possibilities

240
Majority requires 121 seats
IS.BG
17
7.1%
BSP
59
24.6%
ITN
34
14.2%
DPS
29
12.1%
GERB
69
28.8%
DB
12
5%
VMRO
10
4.2%
Volya
10
4.2%
GERB + ITN + DPS
55.0%
GERB + DPS + DB + VMRO + Volya
54.2%
GERB + BSP
53.3%
GERB + DPS + IS.BG + DB
52.9%
GERB + ITN + DB + VMRO
52.1%
GERB + ITN + DB + Volya
52.1%
GERB + ITN + VMRO + Volya
51.3%
BSP + ITN + DPS
50.8%
GERB + DPS + DB + VMRO
50.0%
GERB + DPS + DB + Volya
50.0%
GERB + DPS + VMRO + Volya
49.2%
GERB + DPS + DB
45.8%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Bulgaria was conducted by Mediana. The survey took place between 13.03.2021 and 26.03.2021 among 1004 eligible voters. After this election poll would get GERB 27%, BSP 23%, ITN 13.5%, DPS 11.3%, IS.BG 6.7%, DB 4.7%, VMRO 4.2%, Volya 4% and ABV 1.6%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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