Bulgaria: Poll by Alpha Research from 30.03.2021

Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
GERB
28.1
-0.4
BSP
19.8
-3.4
ITN
12.7
-0.6
DPS
12.5
±0.0
DB
6.3
+0.6
IS.BG
6.0
+1.5
Volya
3.1
+1.3
Ataka
1.2
+0.7
ABV
0.9
±0.0
Others
9.4
+0.3
Alpha Research – 1007 respondents – 27.03.2021-30.03.2021

Next election: 2027

The next parliamentary election in Bulgaria is expected to take place in 2027.

Institute often rates DPS lower

In 30% of election polls Alpha Research rates DPS lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates IS.BG higher

In 33% of election polls, Alpha Research rates IS.BG higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Bulgaria - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Bulgaria from Alpha Research shows the following results: GERB 28.1%, BSP 19.8%, ITN 12.7%, DPS 12.5%, DB 6.3%, IS.BG 6%, Volya 3.1%, Ataka 1.2% and ABV 0.9%. If an election were held in Bulgaria this Sunday, BSP might gain the most in voter favorability with +12.5 growth since the last election. DPS, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (+1.3) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Galab Donev is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from GERB, BSP and ITN. With 71.2% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Alpha Research. For this purpose, 1007 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 3 days (27.03.2021 - 30.03.2021).

Coalition possibilities

240
Majority requires 121 seats
IS.BG
17
7.1%
BSP
56
23.3%
ITN
36
15%
DPS
35
14.6%
GERB
79
32.9%
DB
17
7.1%
GERB + ITN + DPS
62.5%
GERB + BSP
56.3%
GERB + ITN + DB
55.0%
GERB + DPS + DB
54.6%
GERB + DPS + IS.BG
54.6%
BSP + ITN + DPS
52.9%
BSP + DPS + DB + IS.BG
52.1%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Bulgaria was conducted by Alpha Research. The survey took place between 27.03.2021 and 30.03.2021 among 1007 eligible voters. After this election poll would get GERB 28.1%, BSP 19.8%, ITN 12.7%, DPS 12.5%, DB 6.3%, IS.BG 6%, Volya 3.1%, Ataka 1.2% and ABV 0.9%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.