Bulgaria
Election trend
Parties

Bulgaria: Poll by Alpha Research from 30.03.2021

Polling data

GERB
28.1
-0.4
BSP
19.8
-3.4
ITN
12.7
-0.6
DPS
12.5
±0.0
DB
6.3
+0.6
IS.BG
6.0
+1.5
Volya
3.1
+1.3
Ataka
1.2
+0.7
ABV
0.9
±0.0
Sonst.
9.4
+0.3
Development since the last election on 02.04.2023
GERB
+2.7
BSP
+11.2
ITN
+8.8
DPS
-0.7
DB
IS.BG
Volya
Ataka
ABV
Alpha Research – 1007 respondents – 27.03.2021-30.03.2021
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Bulgaria is expected to take place in 2027.

Election poll results

Bulgaria - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Bulgaria from Alpha Research shows the following results: GERB 28.1%, BSP 19.8%, ITN 12.7%, DPS 12.5%, DB 6.3%, IS.BG 6%, Volya 3.1%, Ataka 1.2% and ABV 0.9%. If an election were held in Bulgaria this Sunday, BSP might gain the most in voter favorability with +11.2 growth since the last election. DPS, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-0.7) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Galab Donev is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from GERB, DB and PP. With 40.3% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Alpha Research. For this purpose, 1007 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 3 days (27.03.2021 - 30.03.2021).

Coalition possibilities

240
IS.BG
17
BSP
56
ITN
36
DPS
35
GERB
79
DB
17
Majority requires 121 seats
GERB + ITN + DPS
150
GERB + BSP
135
GERB + ITN + DB
132
GERB + DPS + DB
131
GERB + DPS + IS.BG
131
BSP + ITN + DPS
127
BSP + DPS + DB + IS.BG
125

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Bulgaria was conducted by Alpha Research. The survey took place between 27.03.2021 and 30.03.2021 among 1007 eligible voters. After this election poll would get GERB 28.1%, BSP 19.8%, ITN 12.7%, DPS 12.5%, DB 6.3%, IS.BG 6%, Volya 3.1%, Ataka 1.2% and ABV 0.9%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.