Bulgaria
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Bulgaria: Poll by Mediana from 15.06.2021

Polling data

ITN
24.0
+10.5
GERB
21.4
-5.6
BSP
21.3
-1.7
DPS
11.2
-0.1
DB
7.2
+2.5
IS.BG
6.9
+0.2
Sonst.
8.0
-5.8
Development since the last election on 09.06.2024
ITN
+18.2
GERB
-2.6
BSP
+14.4
DPS
-5.4
DB
New
IS.BG
New
Mediana – 1008 respondents – 10.06.2021-15.06.2021

Next election: 2027

The next parliamentary election in Bulgaria is expected to take place in 2027.

Election poll results

Bulgaria - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Bulgaria from Mediana shows the following results: ITN 24%, GERB 21.4%, BSP 21.3%, DPS 11.2%, DB 7.2% and IS.BG 6.9%. If an election were held in Bulgaria this Sunday, ITN might gain the most in voter favorability with +18.2 growth since the last election. DPS, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-5.4) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Galab Donev is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from GERB, DB and PP. With 31.1% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Mediana. For this purpose, 1008 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 5 days (10.06.2021 - 15.06.2021).

Coalition possibilities

240
IS.BG
18
BSP
56
ITN
63
DPS
29
GERB
56
DB
18
Majority requires 121 seats
ITN + GERB + BSP
175
ITN + GERB + DPS
148
ITN + BSP + DPS
148
GERB + BSP + DPS
141
ITN + GERB + DB
137
GERB + BSP + DB
130
GERB + BSP + IS.BG
130
GERB + DPS + DB + IS.BG
121
BSP + DPS + DB + IS.BG
121
ITN + GERB
119
ITN + BSP
119

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Bulgaria was conducted by Mediana. The survey took place between 10.06.2021 and 15.06.2021 among 1008 eligible voters. After this election poll would get ITN 24%, GERB 21.4%, BSP 21.3%, DPS 11.2%, DB 7.2% and IS.BG 6.9%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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