Bulgaria
Election trend
Parties

Bulgaria: Poll by Trend from 18.06.2021

Polling data

GERB
21.7
-7.1
ITN
20.2
+7.5
BSP
16.1
-7.5
DB
11.2
+5.3
DPS
10.9
-1.2
IS.BG
5.0
+0.9
Volya
2.3
-0.2
Sonst.
12.6
+2.3
Development since the last election on 02.04.2023
GERB
-3.7
ITN
+16.3
BSP
+7.5
DB
DPS
-2.3
IS.BG
Volya
Trend – 1003 respondents – 11.06.2021-18.06.2021
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Bulgaria is expected to take place in 2027.

Election poll results

Bulgaria - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Bulgaria from Trend shows the following results: GERB 21.7%, ITN 20.2%, BSP 16.1%, DB 11.2%, DPS 10.9%, IS.BG 5% and Volya 2.3%. If an election were held in Bulgaria this Sunday, ITN might gain the most in voter favorability with +16.3 growth since the last election. GERB, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-3.7) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Galab Donev is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from GERB, DB and PP. With 38.7% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Trend. For this purpose, 1003 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 7 days (11.06.2021 - 18.06.2021).

Coalition possibilities

240
IS.BG
14
BSP
45
ITN
57
DPS
31
GERB
61
DB
32
Majority requires 121 seats
GERB + ITN + BSP
163
GERB + ITN + DB
150
GERB + ITN + DPS
149
GERB + BSP + DB
138
GERB + BSP + DPS
137
ITN + BSP + DPS
133
GERB + DB + DPS
124
BSP + DB + DPS + IS.BG
122
GERB + BSP + IS.BG
120
ITN + DB + DPS
120
GERB + ITN
118

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Bulgaria was conducted by Trend. The survey took place between 11.06.2021 and 18.06.2021 among 1003 eligible voters. After this election poll would get GERB 21.7%, ITN 20.2%, BSP 16.1%, DB 11.2%, DPS 10.9%, IS.BG 5% and Volya 2.3%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.