Bulgaria: Poll by Alpha Research from 07.07.2021

Polling data

ITN
21.8
+9.1
GERB
21.5
-6.6
BSP
16.5
-3.3
DB
12.0
+5.7
DPS
11.1
-1.4
IS.BG
5.4
-0.6
Volya
3.2
+0.1
Sonst.
8.5
-3.0
Development since the last election on 02.04.2023
Alpha Research – 1013 respondents – 04.07.2021-07.07.2021
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Bulgaria is expected to take place in 2027.

Election poll results

Bulgaria - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Bulgaria from Alpha Research shows the following results: ITN 21.8%, GERB 21.5%, BSP 16.5%, DB 12%, DPS 11.1%, IS.BG 5.4% and Volya 3.2%. If an election were held in Bulgaria this Sunday, ITN might gain the most in voter favorability with +17.9 growth since the last election. GERB, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-3.9) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Galab Donev is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from GERB, DB and PP. With 37.9% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Alpha Research. For this purpose, 1013 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 3 days (04.07.2021 - 07.07.2021).

Coalition possibilities

240
IS.BG
14
BSP
45
ITN
59
DPS
30
GERB
59
DB
33
Majority requires 121 seats
ITN + GERB + BSP
163
ITN + GERB + DB
151
ITN + GERB + DPS
148
GERB + BSP + DB
137
ITN + BSP + DPS
134
GERB + BSP + DPS
134
BSP + DB + DPS + IS.BG
ITN + DB + DPS
122
GERB + DB + DPS
122
GERB + BSP + IS.BG
118
ITN + GERB
118

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Bulgaria was conducted by Alpha Research. The survey took place between 04.07.2021 and 07.07.2021 among 1013 eligible voters. After this election poll would get ITN 21.8%, GERB 21.5%, BSP 16.5%, DB 12%, DPS 11.1%, IS.BG 5.4% and Volya 3.2%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.