Bulgaria
Election trend
Parties

Bulgaria: Poll by Market LINKS from 20.09.2021

Polling data

GERB
22.6
+1.0
BSP
14.5
-1.2
ITN
13.5
-2.2
DB
11.9
-4.6
PP
10.8
+10.8
DPS
9.8
-1.2
IS.BG
3.3
-1.2
Volya
3.2
-1.1
Sonst.
10.4
-0.3
Development since the last election on 02.04.2023
GERB
-2.8
BSP
+5.9
ITN
+9.6
DB
PP
DPS
-3.4
IS.BG
Volya
Market LINKS – 1076 respondents – 14.09.2021-20.09.2021
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Bulgaria is expected to take place in 2027.
Institute often rates DB higher
In 43% of election polls, Market LINKS rates DB higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates GERB lower
In 40% of election polls Market LINKS rates GERB lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates ITN lower
In 36% of election polls Market LINKS rates ITN lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Bulgaria - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Bulgaria from Market LINKS shows the following results: GERB 22.6%, BSP 14.5%, ITN 13.5%, DB 11.9%, PP 10.8%, DPS 9.8%, IS.BG 3.3% and Volya 3.2%. If an election were held in Bulgaria this Sunday, ITN might gain the most in voter favorability with +9.6 growth since the last election. DPS, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-3.4) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Galab Donev is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from GERB, DB and PP. With 54.5% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Market LINKS. For this purpose, 1076 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 6 days (14.09.2021 - 20.09.2021).

Coalition possibilities

240
BSP
42
ITN
39
PP
31
DPS
28
GERB
66
DB
34
Majority requires 121 seats
GERB + BSP + ITN
147
GERB + BSP + DB
142
GERB + ITN + DB
139
GERB + BSP + PP
139
BSP + DB + PP + DPS
135
GERB + ITN + PP
136
GERB + BSP + DPS
136
ITN + DB + PP + DPS
132
GERB + ITN + DPS
133
GERB + DB + PP
131
GERB + DB + DPS
128
GERB + PP + DPS
125

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Bulgaria was conducted by Market LINKS. The survey took place between 14.09.2021 and 20.09.2021 among 1076 eligible voters. After this election poll would get GERB 22.6%, BSP 14.5%, ITN 13.5%, DB 11.9%, PP 10.8%, DPS 9.8%, IS.BG 3.3% and Volya 3.2%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.