Bulgaria
Election trend
Parties

Bulgaria: Poll by Gallup from 31.10.2021

Polling data

GERB
24.2
+1.7
BSP
15.7
+0.6
PP
13.7
+0.3
ITN
11.3
-0.9
DPS
11.1
+0.3
DB
9.8
-1.4
Volya
3.3
+0.4
IS.BG
3.1
-0.6
VMRO
2.3
±0.0
Sonst.
5.5
-0.4
Development since the last election on 02.04.2023
GERB
-1.2
BSP
+7.1
PP
ITN
+7.4
DPS
-2.1
DB
Volya
IS.BG
VMRO
Gallup – 1081 respondents – 23.10.2021-31.10.2021
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Bulgaria is expected to take place in 2027.

Election poll results

Bulgaria - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Bulgaria from Gallup shows the following results: GERB 24.2%, BSP 15.7%, PP 13.7%, ITN 11.3%, DPS 11.1%, DB 9.8%, Volya 3.3%, IS.BG 3.1% and VMRO 2.3%. If an election were held in Bulgaria this Sunday, ITN might gain the most in voter favorability with +7.4 growth since the last election. DPS, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-2.1) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Galab Donev is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from GERB, DB and PP. With 55.6% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Gallup. For this purpose, 1081 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 8 days (23.10.2021 - 31.10.2021).

Coalition possibilities

240
BSP
44
PP
38
ITN
32
DPS
31
GERB
68
DB
27
Majority requires 121 seats
GERB + BSP + PP
150
GERB + BSP + ITN
144
GERB + BSP + DPS
143
BSP + PP + DPS + DB
140
GERB + BSP + DB
139
GERB + PP + ITN
138
GERB + PP + DPS
137
GERB + PP + DB
133
GERB + ITN + DPS
131
PP + ITN + DPS + DB
128
GERB + ITN + DB
127
GERB + DPS + DB
126
BSP + PP + DPS
113

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Bulgaria was conducted by Gallup. The survey took place between 23.10.2021 and 31.10.2021 among 1081 eligible voters. After this election poll would get GERB 24.2%, BSP 15.7%, PP 13.7%, ITN 11.3%, DPS 11.1%, DB 9.8%, Volya 3.3%, IS.BG 3.1% and VMRO 2.3%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.