Bulgaria
Election trend
Parties

Bulgaria: Poll by Mediana from 08.11.2021

Polling data

GERB
25.4
+4.0
PP
17.3
+17.3
BSP
15.6
-5.7
ITN
12.2
-11.8
DPS
10.6
-0.6
DB
9.7
+2.5
IS.BG
4.2
-2.7
Volya
3.1
+3.1
VMRO
2.2
+2.2
Development since the last election on 02.04.2023
GERB
±0.0
PP
BSP
+7.0
ITN
+8.3
DPS
-2.6
DB
IS.BG
Volya
VMRO
Mediana – 957 respondents – 04.11.2021-08.11.2021
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Bulgaria is expected to take place in 2027.

Election poll results

Bulgaria - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Bulgaria from Mediana shows the following results: GERB 25.4%, PP 17.3%, BSP 15.6%, ITN 12.2%, DPS 10.6%, DB 9.7%, IS.BG 4.2%, Volya 3.1% and VMRO 2.2%. If an election were held in Bulgaria this Sunday, ITN might gain the most in voter favorability with +8.3 growth since the last election. DPS, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-2.6) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Galab Donev is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from GERB, DB and PP. With 55.3% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Mediana. For this purpose, 957 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 4 days (04.11.2021 - 08.11.2021).

Coalition possibilities

240
IS.BG
10
BSP
40
PP
44
ITN
31
DPS
27
GERB
64
DB
24
Majority requires 121 seats
GERB + PP + BSP
148
GERB + PP + ITN
139
GERB + PP + DPS
135
PP + BSP + DPS + DB
135
GERB + BSP + ITN
135
GERB + PP + DB
132
GERB + BSP + DPS
131
GERB + BSP + DB
128
GERB + DPS + DB + IS.BG
125
PP + ITN + DPS + DB
126
GERB + ITN + DPS
122
PP + BSP + DPS + IS.BG
121
GERB + ITN + DB
119
GERB + PP + IS.BG
118
PP + BSP + DB + IS.BG
118
GERB + DPS + DB
115
PP + BSP + DPS
111
GERB + PP
108

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Bulgaria was conducted by Mediana. The survey took place between 04.11.2021 and 08.11.2021 among 957 eligible voters. After this election poll would get GERB 25.4%, PP 17.3%, BSP 15.6%, ITN 12.2%, DPS 10.6%, DB 9.7%, IS.BG 4.2%, Volya 3.1% and VMRO 2.2%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.