Bulgaria
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Elections

Bulgaria: Poll by Alpha Research from 09.11.2021

Polling data

GERB
24.1
+3.0
PP
16.5
+16.5
BSP
16.0
-0.5
DB
10.2
-3.0
ITN
9.9
-7.0
DPS
9.8
+0.2
Volya
3.8
+0.3
IS.BG
3.6
-0.5
Sonst.
6.1
±0.0
Development since the last election on 02.04.2023
GERB
-1.3
PP
BSP
+7.4
DB
ITN
+6.0
DPS
-3.4
Volya
IS.BG
Alpha Research – 1017 respondents – 07.11.2021-09.11.2021
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Bulgaria is expected to take place in 2027.
Institute often rates GERB lower
In 33% of election polls Alpha Research rates GERB lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Election poll results

Bulgaria - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Bulgaria from Alpha Research shows the following results: GERB 24.1%, PP 16.5%, BSP 16%, DB 10.2%, ITN 9.9%, DPS 9.8%, Volya 3.8% and IS.BG 3.6%. If an election were held in Bulgaria this Sunday, BSP might gain the most in voter favorability with +7.4 growth since the last election. DPS, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-3.4) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Galab Donev is currently governing with a Unknown orientation from . With 0.0% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Alpha Research. For this purpose, 1017 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 2 days (07.11.2021 - 09.11.2021).

Coalition possibilities

GERB + PP + DPS
58.3
GERB + BSP + DB
58.2
GERB + BSP + DPS
57.7
GERB + DB + ITN
51.1
GERB + DB + DPS
51.0
GERB + ITN + DPS
50.6
PP + BSP + DPS
48.9
GERB + PP
47.0

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results
This election poll on the parliamentary election in Bulgaria was conducted by Alpha Research. The survey took place between 07.11.2021 and 09.11.2021 among 1017 eligible voters. After this election poll would get GERB 24.1%, PP 16.5%, BSP 16%, DB 10.2%, ITN 9.9%, DPS 9.8%, Volya 3.8% and IS.BG 3.6%.
How reliable are election polls?
Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the survey method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.
What should you look out for in election polls?
Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.