Bulgaria: Poll by Alpha Research from 09.11.2021

Bulgaria: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
GERB
24.1
+3.0
PP
16.5
+16.5
BSP
16.0
-0.5
DB
10.2
-3.0
ITN
9.9
-7.0
DPS
9.8
+0.2
Volya
3.8
+0.3
IS.BG
3.6
-0.5
Others
6.1
-9.0
Development since the last election on 27.10.2024
GERB
-1.4
PP
New
BSP
+8.7
DB
New
ITN
+3.3
DPS
-1.4
Volya
New
IS.BG
New
Alpha Research – 1017 respondents – 07.11.2021-09.11.2021

Next election: 2027

The next parliamentary election in Bulgaria is expected to take place in 2027.

Institute often rates DPS lower

In 30% of election polls Alpha Research rates DPS lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates IS.BG higher

In 33% of election polls, Alpha Research rates IS.BG higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Bulgaria - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Bulgaria from Alpha Research shows the following results: GERB 24.1%, PP 16.5%, BSP 16%, DB 10.2%, ITN 9.9%, DPS 9.8%, Volya 3.8% and IS.BG 3.6%. If an election were held in Bulgaria this Sunday, BSP might gain the most in voter favorability with +8.7 growth since the last election. GERB, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-1.4) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Galab Donev is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from GERB, BSP and ITN. With 58.0% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Alpha Research. For this purpose, 1017 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 2 days (07.11.2021 - 09.11.2021).

Coalition possibilities

240
Majority requires 121 seats
BSP
45
18.8%
PP
46
19.2%
ITN
27
11.3%
DPS
27
11.3%
GERB
67
27.9%
DB
28
11.7%
GERB + PP + BSP
65.8%
PP + BSP + DB + DPS
60.8%
PP + BSP + DPS + ITN
60.4%
GERB + PP + DB
58.8%
GERB + BSP + DB
58.3%
GERB + PP + DPS
58.3%
GERB + PP + ITN
58.3%
GERB + BSP + DPS
57.9%
GERB + BSP + ITN
57.9%
PP + DB + DPS + ITN
53.3%
GERB + DB + ITN
50.8%
GERB + DB + DPS
50.8%
GERB + DPS + ITN
50.4%
PP + BSP + DB
49.6%
PP + BSP + DPS
49.2%
PP + BSP + ITN
49.2%
GERB + PP
47.1%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Bulgaria was conducted by Alpha Research. The survey took place between 07.11.2021 and 09.11.2021 among 1017 eligible voters. After this election poll would get GERB 24.1%, PP 16.5%, BSP 16%, DB 10.2%, ITN 9.9%, DPS 9.8%, Volya 3.8% and IS.BG 3.6%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
How to embed the election trend on your website:
  1. Copy code below
  2. Paste code on your website
  3. Done!
Copy code
Copied!