Bulgaria
Election trend
Parties

Bulgaria: Poll by Trend from 12.03.2022

Polling data

PP
22.9
-3.5
GERB
21.9
-0.4
DPS
11.4
+0.5
BSP
10.4
-1.1
ITN
7.5
-0.6
DB
7.4
+0.6
V
7.3
+7.3
IS.BG
2.1
+0.2
VMRO
1.3
+0.2
Sonst.
7.8
-3.2
Development since the last election on 02.04.2023
PP
GERB
-3.5
DPS
-1.8
BSP
+1.8
ITN
+3.6
DB
V
-6.3
IS.BG
VMRO
Trend – 1007 respondents – 05.03.2022-12.03.2022
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Bulgaria is expected to take place in 2027.

Election poll results

Bulgaria - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Bulgaria from Trend shows the following results: PP 22.9%, GERB 21.9%, DPS 11.4%, BSP 10.4%, ITN 7.5%, DB 7.4%, Vŭzrazhdane 7.3%, IS.BG 2.1% and VMRO 1.3%. If an election were held in Bulgaria this Sunday, ITN might gain the most in voter favorability with +3.6 growth since the last election. PP, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (?) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Galab Donev is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from GERB, DB and PP. With 58.8% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Trend. For this purpose, 1007 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 7 days (05.03.2022 - 12.03.2022).

Coalition possibilities

240
BSP
28
PP
62
ITN
20
DPS
31
GERB
60
DB
20
V
19
Majority requires 121 seats
GERB + DPS + BSP + ITN
139
GERB + DPS + BSP + DB
139
PP + DPS + ITN + DB
133
PP + DPS + ITN + Vŭzrazhdane
132
PP + DPS + DB + Vŭzrazhdane
132
GERB + DPS + ITN + DB
131
GERB + DPS + ITN + Vŭzrazhdane
130
GERB + DPS + DB + Vŭzrazhdane
130
PP + ITN + DB + Vŭzrazhdane
121
PP + GERB
122
PP + DPS + BSP
121
GERB + ITN + DB + Vŭzrazhdane
119
GERB + DPS + BSP
119
GERB + DPS + DB
111

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Bulgaria was conducted by Trend. The survey took place between 05.03.2022 and 12.03.2022 among 1007 eligible voters. After this election poll would get PP 22.9%, GERB 21.9%, DPS 11.4%, BSP 10.4%, ITN 7.5%, DB 7.4%, Vŭzrazhdane 7.3%, IS.BG 2.1% and VMRO 1.3%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.