Bulgaria: Poll by Trend from 13.04.2022

Bulgaria: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
GERB
23.6
+1.7
PP
20.1
-2.8
DPS
11.1
-0.3
BSP
10.5
+0.1
V
9.3
+2.0
DB
7.1
-0.3
ITN
6.9
-0.6
IS.BG
1.9
-0.2
VMRO
1.3
±0.0
Others
8.2
+0.4
Development since the last election on 27.10.2024
GERB
-1.9
PP
New
DPS
-0.1
BSP
+3.2
V
-3.6
DB
New
ITN
+0.3
IS.BG
New
VMRO
New
Trend – 1004 respondents – 06.04.2022-13.04.2022

Next election: 2027

The next parliamentary election in Bulgaria is expected to take place in 2027.

Institute often rates PP lower

In 67% of election polls Trend rates PP lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Bulgaria - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Bulgaria from Trend shows the following results: GERB 23.6%, PP 20.1%, DPS 11.1%, BSP 10.5%, Vŭzrazhdane 9.3%, DB 7.1%, ITN 6.9%, IS.BG 1.9% and VMRO 1.3%. If an election were held in Bulgaria this Sunday, BSP might gain the most in voter favorability with +3.2 growth since the last election. Vŭzrazhdane, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-3.6) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Galab Donev is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from GERB, BSP and ITN. With 46.3% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Trend. For this purpose, 1004 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 7 days (06.04.2022 - 13.04.2022).

Coalition possibilities

240
Majority requires 121 seats
BSP
28
11.7%
PP
55
22.9%
ITN
19
7.9%
DPS
30
12.5%
GERB
64
26.7%
DB
19
7.9%
V
25
10.4%
GERB + PP + DPS
62.1%
GERB + PP + BSP
61.3%
GERB + PP + Vŭzrazhdane
60.0%
GERB + PP + DB
57.5%
GERB + PP + ITN
57.5%
GERB + DPS + Vŭzrazhdane + ITN
57.5%
GERB + DPS + Vŭzrazhdane + DB
57.5%
GERB + DPS + DB + ITN
55.0%
PP + DPS + BSP + DB
55.0%
PP + DPS + BSP + ITN
55.0%
PP + DPS + Vŭzrazhdane + ITN
53.8%
PP + DPS + Vŭzrazhdane + DB
53.8%
GERB + Vŭzrazhdane + DB + ITN
52.9%
PP + DPS + DB + ITN
51.3%
GERB + DPS + BSP
50.8%
GERB + PP
49.6%
GERB + DPS + Vŭzrazhdane
49.6%
PP + Vŭzrazhdane + DB + ITN
49.2%
GERB + DPS + DB
47.1%
PP + DPS + BSP
47.1%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Bulgaria was conducted by Trend. The survey took place between 06.04.2022 and 13.04.2022 among 1004 eligible voters. After this election poll would get GERB 23.6%, PP 20.1%, DPS 11.1%, BSP 10.5%, Vŭzrazhdane 9.3%, DB 7.1%, ITN 6.9%, IS.BG 1.9% and VMRO 1.3%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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