Bulgaria: Poll by Trend from 11.05.2022

Bulgaria: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
GERB
23.8
+0.2
PP
17.5
-2.6
DPS
10.9
-0.2
V
10.1
+0.8
BSP
9.5
-1.0
BV
7.6
+7.6
DB
6.8
-0.3
ITN
5.8
-1.1
IS.BG
2.0
+0.1
VMRO
1.5
+0.2
Others
4.5
-3.7
Development since the last election on 27.10.2024
GERB
-1.7
PP
New
DPS
-0.3
V
-2.8
BSP
+2.2
BV
New
DB
New
ITN
-0.8
IS.BG
New
VMRO
New
Trend – 1002 respondents – 04.05.2022-11.05.2022

Next election: 2027

The next parliamentary election in Bulgaria is expected to take place in 2027.

Institute often rates PP lower

In 67% of election polls Trend rates PP lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Bulgaria - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Bulgaria from Trend shows the following results: GERB 23.8%, PP 17.5%, DPS 10.9%, Vŭzrazhdane 10.1%, BSP 9.5%, BV 7.6%, DB 6.8%, ITN 5.8%, IS.BG 2% and VMRO 1.5%. If an election were held in Bulgaria this Sunday, BSP might gain the most in voter favorability with +2.2 growth since the last election. Vŭzrazhdane, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-2.8) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Galab Donev is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from GERB, BSP and ITN. With 42.5% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Trend. For this purpose, 1002 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 7 days (04.05.2022 - 11.05.2022).

Coalition possibilities

240
Majority requires 121 seats
BSP
25
10.4%
PP
46
19.2%
ITN
15
6.3%
DPS
28
11.7%
GERB
62
25.8%
BV
20
8.3%
DB
18
7.5%
V
26
10.8%
PP + DPS + Vŭzrazhdane + BV + DB
57.5%
PP + DPS + BSP + BV + DB
57.1%
GERB + PP + DPS
56.7%
GERB + DPS + Vŭzrazhdane + BV
56.7%
GERB + DPS + BSP + BV
56.3%
PP + DPS + Vŭzrazhdane + BV + ITN
56.3%
GERB + PP + Vŭzrazhdane
55.8%
GERB + DPS + Vŭzrazhdane + DB
55.8%
GERB + DPS + BSP + DB
55.4%
GERB + PP + BSP
55.4%
PP + DPS + Vŭzrazhdane + DB + ITN
55.4%
GERB + DPS + Vŭzrazhdane + ITN
54.6%
GERB + DPS + BSP + ITN
54.2%
GERB + PP + BV
53.3%
GERB + DPS + BV + DB
53.3%
PP + DPS + BV + DB + ITN
52.9%
GERB + PP + DB
52.5%
GERB + Vŭzrazhdane + BV + DB
52.5%
GERB + BSP + BV + DB
52.1%
GERB + DPS + BV + ITN
52.1%
PP + Vŭzrazhdane + BV + DB + ITN
52.1%
GERB + DPS + DB + ITN
51.3%
GERB + PP + ITN
51.3%
GERB + Vŭzrazhdane + BV + ITN
51.3%
GERB + BSP + BV + ITN
50.8%
GERB + Vŭzrazhdane + DB + ITN
50.4%
PP + DPS + Vŭzrazhdane + BV
50.0%
PP + DPS + BSP + BV
49.6%
PP + DPS + Vŭzrazhdane + DB
49.2%
GERB + DPS + BSP
47.9%
GERB + DPS + DB
45.0%
GERB + PP
45.0%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Bulgaria was conducted by Trend. The survey took place between 04.05.2022 and 11.05.2022 among 1002 eligible voters. After this election poll would get GERB 23.8%, PP 17.5%, DPS 10.9%, Vŭzrazhdane 10.1%, BSP 9.5%, BV 7.6%, DB 6.8%, ITN 5.8%, IS.BG 2% and VMRO 1.5%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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