Bulgaria
Election trend
Parties

Bulgaria: Poll by Trend from 11.05.2022

Polling data

GERB
23.8
+0.2
PP
17.5
-2.6
DPS
10.9
-0.2
V
10.1
+0.8
BSP
9.5
-1.0
BV
7.6
+7.6
DB
6.8
-0.3
ITN
5.8
-1.1
IS.BG
2.0
+0.1
VMRO
1.5
+0.2
Sonst.
4.5
-3.7
Development since the last election on 02.04.2023
GERB
-1.6
PP
DPS
-2.3
V
-3.5
BSP
+0.9
BV
+4.6
DB
ITN
+1.9
IS.BG
VMRO
Trend – 1002 respondents – 04.05.2022-11.05.2022
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Bulgaria is expected to take place in 2027.

Election poll results

Bulgaria - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Bulgaria from Trend shows the following results: GERB 23.8%, PP 17.5%, DPS 10.9%, Vŭzrazhdane 10.1%, BSP 9.5%, BV 7.6%, DB 6.8%, ITN 5.8%, IS.BG 2% and VMRO 1.5%. If an election were held in Bulgaria this Sunday, BV might gain the most in voter favorability with +4.6 growth since the last election. Vŭzrazhdane, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-3.5) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Galab Donev is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from GERB, DB and PP. With 52.3% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Trend. For this purpose, 1002 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 7 days (04.05.2022 - 11.05.2022).

Coalition possibilities

240
BSP
25
PP
46
ITN
15
DPS
28
GERB
62
BV
20
DB
18
V
26
Majority requires 121 seats
PP + DPS + Vŭzrazhdane + BV + DB
138
GERB + DPS + Vŭzrazhdane + BV
136
PP + DPS + BSP + BV + DB
137
GERB + PP + DPS
136
PP + DPS + Vŭzrazhdane + BV + ITN
135
GERB + DPS + BSP + BV
135
GERB + DPS + Vŭzrazhdane + DB
134
GERB + PP + Vŭzrazhdane
134
PP + DPS + Vŭzrazhdane + DB + ITN
133
GERB + DPS + BSP + DB
133
GERB + PP + BSP
133
GERB + DPS + Vŭzrazhdane + ITN
131
GERB + DPS + BSP + ITN
130
GERB + DPS + BV + DB
128
GERB + PP + BV
128
PP + DPS + BV + DB + ITN
127
GERB + Vŭzrazhdane + BV + DB
126
GERB + PP + DB
126
GERB + DPS + BV + ITN
125
PP + Vŭzrazhdane + BV + DB + ITN
125
GERB + BSP + BV + DB
125
GERB + Vŭzrazhdane + BV + ITN
123
GERB + DPS + DB + ITN
123
GERB + PP + ITN
123
GERB + BSP + BV + ITN
122
GERB + Vŭzrazhdane + DB + ITN
121
PP + DPS + Vŭzrazhdane + BV
120
PP + DPS + BSP + BV
119
PP + DPS + Vŭzrazhdane + DB
118
GERB + DPS + BSP
115
GERB + DPS + DB
108
GERB + PP
108

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Bulgaria was conducted by Trend. The survey took place between 04.05.2022 and 11.05.2022 among 1002 eligible voters. After this election poll would get GERB 23.8%, PP 17.5%, DPS 10.9%, Vŭzrazhdane 10.1%, BSP 9.5%, BV 7.6%, DB 6.8%, ITN 5.8%, IS.BG 2% and VMRO 1.5%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.