Bulgaria: Poll by Market LINKS from 05.08.2022

Bulgaria: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
GERB
22.4
-0.6
PP
19.1
+2.8
DPS
11.5
+0.3
BSP
10.9
-1.2
V
8.4
+8.4
DB
8.3
-2.2
ITN
2.8
-6.9
Others
16.6
-0.6
Development since the last election on 27.10.2024
GERB
-3.1
PP
New
DPS
+0.3
BSP
+3.6
V
-4.5
DB
New
ITN
-3.8
Market LINKS – 1020 respondents – 30.07.2022-05.08.2022

Next election: 2027

The next parliamentary election in Bulgaria is expected to take place in 2027.

Institute often rates DB higher

In 43% of election polls, Market LINKS rates DB higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates GERB lower

In 40% of election polls Market LINKS rates GERB lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates ITN lower

In 37% of election polls Market LINKS rates ITN lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Vŭzrazhdane lower

In 56% of election polls Market LINKS rates Vŭzrazhdane lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Bulgaria - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Bulgaria from Market LINKS shows the following results: GERB 22.4%, PP 19.1%, DPS 11.5%, BSP 10.9%, Vŭzrazhdane 8.4%, DB 8.3% and ITN 2.8%. If an election were held in Bulgaria this Sunday, BSP might gain the most in voter favorability with +3.6 growth since the last election. Vŭzrazhdane, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-4.5) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Galab Donev is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from GERB, BSP and ITN. With 41.2% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Market LINKS. For this purpose, 1020 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 6 days (30.07.2022 - 05.08.2022).

Coalition possibilities

240
Majority requires 121 seats
BSP
32
13.3%
PP
57
23.8%
DPS
34
14.2%
GERB
67
27.9%
DB
25
10.4%
V
25
10.4%
PP + DPS + DB + Vŭzrazhdane
58.8%
GERB + DPS + BSP
55.4%
GERB + DPS + DB
52.5%
GERB + DPS + Vŭzrazhdane
52.5%
GERB + BSP + DB
51.7%
GERB + PP
51.7%
PP + DPS + BSP
51.3%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Bulgaria was conducted by Market LINKS. The survey took place between 30.07.2022 and 05.08.2022 among 1020 eligible voters. After this election poll would get GERB 22.4%, PP 19.1%, DPS 11.5%, BSP 10.9%, Vŭzrazhdane 8.4%, DB 8.3% and ITN 2.8%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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