Bulgaria
Election trend
Parties

Bulgaria: Poll by Market LINKS from 22.08.2022

Polling data

GERB
24.4
+2.0
PP
19.6
+0.5
DPS
10.6
-0.9
V
10.3
+1.9
BSP
8.6
-2.3
DB
7.3
-1.0
ITN
3.9
+1.1
IS.BG
1.9
+1.9
VMRO
1.2
+1.2
Sonst.
12.2
-4.4
Development since the last election on 02.04.2023
GERB
-1.0
PP
DPS
-2.6
V
-3.3
BSP
±0.0
DB
ITN
±0.0
IS.BG
VMRO
Market LINKS – 1007 respondents – 15.08.2022-22.08.2022
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Bulgaria is expected to take place in 2027.
Institute often rates DB higher
In 43% of election polls, Market LINKS rates DB higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates GERB lower
In 40% of election polls Market LINKS rates GERB lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates ITN lower
In 36% of election polls Market LINKS rates ITN lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Bulgaria - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Bulgaria from Market LINKS shows the following results: GERB 24.4%, PP 19.6%, DPS 10.6%, Vŭzrazhdane 10.3%, BSP 8.6%, DB 7.3%, ITN 3.9%, IS.BG 1.9% and VMRO 1.2%. If an election were held in Bulgaria this Sunday, BSP might gain the most in voter favorability with ±0.0 growth since the last election. Vŭzrazhdane, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-3.3) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Galab Donev is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from GERB, DB and PP. With 63.5% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Market LINKS. For this purpose, 1007 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 7 days (15.08.2022 - 22.08.2022).

Coalition possibilities

240
BSP
25
PP
59
DPS
31
GERB
73
DB
21
V
31
Majority requires 121 seats
PP + DPS + BSP + DB
136
GERB + DPS + Vŭzrazhdane
135
GERB + PP
132
GERB + DPS + BSP
129
GERB + DPS + DB
125
GERB + Vŭzrazhdane + DB
125
PP + DPS + Vŭzrazhdane
121
GERB + BSP + DB
119
PP + DPS + BSP
115

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Bulgaria was conducted by Market LINKS. The survey took place between 15.08.2022 and 22.08.2022 among 1007 eligible voters. After this election poll would get GERB 24.4%, PP 19.6%, DPS 10.6%, Vŭzrazhdane 10.3%, BSP 8.6%, DB 7.3%, ITN 3.9%, IS.BG 1.9% and VMRO 1.2%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.