Bulgaria
Election trend
Parties

Bulgaria: Poll by Alpha Research from 02.09.2022

Polling data

GERB
25.3
+0.5
PP
18.9
-2.2
DPS
11.8
+3.1
BSP
10.6
-1.1
DB
8.1
+0.4
BV
4.5
+4.5
ITN
4.2
-0.9
IS.BG
2.1
+2.1
Sonst.
14.5
-6.4
Development since the last election on 02.04.2023
GERB
-0.1
PP
DPS
-1.4
BSP
+2.0
DB
BV
+1.5
ITN
+0.3
IS.BG
Alpha Research – 1117 respondents – 27.08.2022-02.09.2022
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Bulgaria is expected to take place in 2027.

Election poll results

Bulgaria - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Bulgaria from Alpha Research shows the following results: GERB 25.3%, PP 18.9%, DPS 11.8%, BSP 10.6%, DB 8.1%, BV 4.5%, ITN 4.2% and IS.BG 2.1%. If an election were held in Bulgaria this Sunday, BSP might gain the most in voter favorability with +2.0 growth since the last election. DPS, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-1.4) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Galab Donev is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from GERB, DB and PP. With 62.7% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Alpha Research. For this purpose, 1117 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 6 days (27.08.2022 - 02.09.2022).

Coalition possibilities

240
BSP
30
PP
55
ITN
12
DPS
34
GERB
73
DB
23
BV
13
Majority requires 121 seats
PP + DPS + BSP + DB
142
GERB + DPS + BSP
137
PP + DPS + BSP + BV
132
GERB + DPS + BV + ITN
132
GERB + DPS + DB
130
GERB + BSP + BV + ITN
128
GERB + PP
128
GERB + BSP + DB
126
PP + DPS + DB + BV
125
PP + DPS + DB + ITN
124
PP + BSP + DB + BV
121
GERB + DB + BV + ITN
121
GERB + DPS + BV
120
PP + DPS + BSP
119
GERB + DPS + ITN
119

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Bulgaria was conducted by Alpha Research. The survey took place between 27.08.2022 and 02.09.2022 among 1117 eligible voters. After this election poll would get GERB 25.3%, PP 18.9%, DPS 11.8%, BSP 10.6%, DB 8.1%, BV 4.5%, ITN 4.2% and IS.BG 2.1%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.