Bulgaria
Election trend
Parties

Bulgaria: Poll by Market LINKS from 03.09.2022

Polling data

GERB
22.9
-1.5
PP
17.8
-1.8
BSP
10.9
+2.3
DPS
10.9
+0.3
DB
8.1
+0.8
V
7.6
-2.7
BV
4.7
+4.7
ITN
3.8
-0.1
Sonst.
13.3
-2.0
Development since the last election on 02.04.2023
GERB
-2.5
PP
BSP
+2.3
DPS
-2.3
DB
V
-6.0
BV
+1.7
ITN
-0.1
Market LINKS – 1067 respondents – 27.08.2022-03.09.2022
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Bulgaria is expected to take place in 2027.
Institute often rates DB higher
In 43% of election polls, Market LINKS rates DB higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates GERB lower
In 40% of election polls Market LINKS rates GERB lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates ITN lower
In 36% of election polls Market LINKS rates ITN lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Bulgaria - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Bulgaria from Market LINKS shows the following results: GERB 22.9%, PP 17.8%, BSP 10.9%, DPS 10.9%, DB 8.1%, Vŭzrazhdane 7.6%, BV 4.7% and ITN 3.8%. If an election were held in Bulgaria this Sunday, BSP might gain the most in voter favorability with +2.3 growth since the last election. Vŭzrazhdane, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-6.0) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Galab Donev is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from GERB, DB and PP. With 58.9% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Market LINKS. For this purpose, 1067 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 7 days (27.08.2022 - 03.09.2022).

Coalition possibilities

240
BSP
32
PP
52
DPS
31
GERB
67
DB
23
BV
13
V
22
Majority requires 121 seats
GERB + PP + BSP
151
GERB + PP + DPS
150
GERB + PP + DB
142
GERB + PP + Vŭzrazhdane
141
PP + BSP + DPS + DB
138
GERB + DPS + Vŭzrazhdane + BV
133
GERB + PP + BV
132
GERB + BSP + DPS
130
PP + DPS + DB + Vŭzrazhdane
128
PP + BSP + DPS + BV
128
GERB + DB + Vŭzrazhdane + BV
125
GERB + BSP + DB
122
GERB + DPS + DB
121
PP + BSP + DB + BV
120
PP + DPS + DB + BV
119
GERB + DPS + Vŭzrazhdane
120
PP + DPS + Vŭzrazhdane + BV
118
GERB + PP
119
PP + BSP + DPS
115

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Bulgaria was conducted by Market LINKS. The survey took place between 27.08.2022 and 03.09.2022 among 1067 eligible voters. After this election poll would get GERB 22.9%, PP 17.8%, BSP 10.9%, DPS 10.9%, DB 8.1%, Vŭzrazhdane 7.6%, BV 4.7% and ITN 3.8%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.