Bulgaria: Poll by Mediana from 04.09.2022

Polling data

GERB
22.8
-2.6
PP
17.1
-0.2
BSP
13.3
-2.3
V
12.5
+12.5
DPS
11.1
+0.5
ITN
6.9
-5.3
BV
5.5
+5.5
DB
5.5
-4.2
IS.BG
3.4
-0.8
Others
1.9
0.0
Mediana – 1008 respondents – 30.08.2022-04.09.2022
No abnormalities
Compared to the general election trend of all institutes, there are no significant anomalies regarding individual parties.
Next election: 2026
The next parliamentary election in Bulgaria is expected to take place in 2026.

Coalition possibilities

GERB + Vŭzrazhdane + DPS + ITN
GERB + PP + BSP
56.2
GERB + BSP + DPS + DB
GERB + BSP + DPS + BV
GERB + PP + Vŭzrazhdane
55.4
GERB + PP + ITN + DB
GERB + PP + ITN + BV
GERB + Vŭzrazhdane + DPS + BV
GERB + Vŭzrazhdane + DPS + DB
GERB + DPS + ITN + DB + BV
PP + Vŭzrazhdane + DPS + DB + BV
GERB + PP + DPS
53.9
GERB + PP + DB + BV
GERB + Vŭzrazhdane + ITN + DB
GERB + Vŭzrazhdane + ITN + BV
PP + Vŭzrazhdane + DPS + ITN
PP + Vŭzrazhdane + ITN + DB + BV
GERB + BSP + DPS
49.8
GERB + BSP + DB + BV
PP + BSP + DPS + DB
PP + BSP + DPS + BV
GERB + PP + ITN
49.5
GERB + Vŭzrazhdane + DPS
49.0


Frequently asked questions about election polls

election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Bulgaria was conducted by Mediana. The survey took place between 30.08.2022 and 04.09.2022 among 1008 eligible voters. After this election poll would get GERB 22.8%, PP 17.1%, BSP 13.3%, Vŭzrazhdane 12.5%, DPS 11.1%, ITN 6.9%, BV 5.5%, DB 5.5% and IS.BG 3.4%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the survey method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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