Bulgaria
Election trend
Parties

Bulgaria: Poll by Mediana from 04.09.2022

Polling data

GERB
22.8
-2.6
PP
17.1
-0.2
BSP
13.3
-2.3
V
12.5
+12.5
DPS
11.1
+0.5
ITN
6.9
-5.3
BV
5.5
+5.5
DB
5.5
-4.2
IS.BG
3.4
-0.8
Sonst.
1.9
-3.1
Development since the last election on 02.04.2023
GERB
-2.6
PP
BSP
+4.7
V
-1.1
DPS
-2.1
ITN
+3.0
BV
+2.5
DB
IS.BG
Mediana – 1008 respondents – 30.08.2022-04.09.2022
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Bulgaria is expected to take place in 2027.

Election poll results

Bulgaria - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Bulgaria from Mediana shows the following results: GERB 22.8%, PP 17.1%, BSP 13.3%, Vŭzrazhdane 12.5%, DPS 11.1%, ITN 6.9%, BV 5.5%, DB 5.5% and IS.BG 3.4%. If an election were held in Bulgaria this Sunday, BSP might gain the most in voter favorability with +4.7 growth since the last election. GERB, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-2.6) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Galab Donev is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from GERB, DB and PP. With 48.0% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Mediana. For this purpose, 1008 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 5 days (30.08.2022 - 04.09.2022).

Coalition possibilities

240
BSP
34
PP
43
ITN
17
DPS
28
GERB
58
BV
14
DB
14
V
32
Majority requires 121 seats
GERB + BSP + DPS + ITN
137
GERB + Vŭzrazhdane + DPS + ITN
135
GERB + PP + BSP
135
PP + Vŭzrazhdane + DPS + ITN + DB
134
PP + Vŭzrazhdane + DPS + ITN + BV
134
GERB + BSP + DPS + DB
134
GERB + BSP + DPS + BV
134
GERB + PP + Vŭzrazhdane
133
PP + BSP + DPS + DB + BV
133
GERB + PP + ITN + DB
132
GERB + PP + ITN + BV
132
GERB + Vŭzrazhdane + DPS + DB
132
GERB + Vŭzrazhdane + DPS + BV
132
GERB + DPS + ITN + DB + BV
131
PP + Vŭzrazhdane + DPS + DB + BV
131
GERB + PP + DPS
129
GERB + PP + DB + BV
129
GERB + BSP + ITN + BV
123
GERB + Vŭzrazhdane + ITN + DB
121
GERB + Vŭzrazhdane + ITN + BV
121
PP + Vŭzrazhdane + DPS + ITN
120
PP + Vŭzrazhdane + ITN + DB + BV
120
GERB + BSP + DPS
120
GERB + BSP + DB + BV
120
PP + BSP + DPS + DB
119
PP + BSP + DPS + BV
119
GERB + PP + ITN
118
GERB + Vŭzrazhdane + DPS
118
GERB + Vŭzrazhdane + DB + BV
118

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Bulgaria was conducted by Mediana. The survey took place between 30.08.2022 and 04.09.2022 among 1008 eligible voters. After this election poll would get GERB 22.8%, PP 17.1%, BSP 13.3%, Vŭzrazhdane 12.5%, DPS 11.1%, ITN 6.9%, BV 5.5%, DB 5.5% and IS.BG 3.4%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.