Bulgaria
Election trend
Parties

Bulgaria: Poll by Exacta from 17.09.2022

Polling data

GERB
26.2
-0.2
PP
18.1
+18.1
BSP
12.5
-9.8
DPS
10.3
+1.8
ABV
9.5
+9.5
DB
7.5
+2.4
ITN
5.4
-8.1
BV
4.0
+4.0
Sonst.
6.5
-17.7
Development since the last election on 02.04.2023
GERB
+0.8
PP
BSP
+3.9
DPS
-2.9
ABV
DB
ITN
+1.5
BV
+1.0
Exacta – 1050 respondents – 10.09.2022-17.09.2022
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Bulgaria is expected to take place in 2027.

Election poll results

Bulgaria - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Bulgaria from Exacta shows the following results: GERB 26.2%, PP 18.1%, BSP 12.5%, DPS 10.3%, ABV 9.5%, DB 7.5%, ITN 5.4% and BV 4%. If an election were held in Bulgaria this Sunday, BSP might gain the most in voter favorability with +3.9 growth since the last election. DPS, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-2.9) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Galab Donev is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from GERB, DB and PP. With 55.4% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Exacta. For this purpose, 1050 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 7 days (10.09.2022 - 17.09.2022).

Coalition possibilities

240
BSP
32
ABV
24
PP
47
ITN
14
DPS
26
GERB
68
DB
19
BV
10
Majority requires 121 seats
GERB + PP + BSP
147
GERB + PP + DPS
141
GERB + PP + ABV
139
GERB + DPS + ABV + DB
137
GERB + PP + DB
134
PP + BSP + DPS + ABV
129
GERB + BSP + DB + BV
129
GERB + PP + ITN
129
GERB + DPS + DB + ITN
127
GERB + BSP + DPS
126
PP + BSP + DPS + DB
124
GERB + PP + BV
125
GERB + BSP + ABV
124
GERB + BSP + ITN + BV
124
GERB + DPS + DB + BV
123
PP + BSP + ABV + DB
122
GERB + BSP + DB
119
GERB + DPS + ABV
118
GERB + DPS + ITN + BV
118
GERB + PP
115
GERB + DPS + DB
113

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Bulgaria was conducted by Exacta. The survey took place between 10.09.2022 and 17.09.2022 among 1050 eligible voters. After this election poll would get GERB 26.2%, PP 18.1%, BSP 12.5%, DPS 10.3%, ABV 9.5%, DB 7.5%, ITN 5.4% and BV 4%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.