Bulgaria
Election trend
Parties

Bulgaria: Poll by Trend from 08.12.2022

Polling data

GERB
25.8
+2.0
PP
19.2
+1.7
DPS
11.6
+0.7
V
11.3
+1.2
BSP
9.0
-0.5
DB
7.3
+0.5
BV
4.0
-3.6
ITN
3.1
-2.7
Sonst.
8.7
+0.7
Development since the last election on 02.04.2023
GERB
+0.4
PP
DPS
-1.6
V
-2.3
BSP
+0.4
DB
BV
+1.0
ITN
-0.8
Trend – 1005 respondents – 01.12.2022-08.12.2022
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Bulgaria is expected to take place in 2027.

Election poll results

Bulgaria - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Bulgaria from Trend shows the following results: GERB 25.8%, PP 19.2%, DPS 11.6%, Vŭzrazhdane 11.3%, BSP 9%, DB 7.3%, BV 4% and ITN 3.1%. If an election were held in Bulgaria this Sunday, BV might gain the most in voter favorability with +1.0 growth since the last election. Vŭzrazhdane, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-2.3) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Galab Donev is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from GERB, DB and PP. With 59.4% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Trend. For this purpose, 1005 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 7 days (01.12.2022 - 08.12.2022).

Coalition possibilities

240
BSP
24
PP
52
DPS
32
GERB
71
DB
20
BV
10
V
31
Majority requires 121 seats
PP + DPS + Vŭzrazhdane + DB
135
GERB + DPS + Vŭzrazhdane
134
PP + DPS + BSP + DB
128
GERB + DPS + BSP
127
GERB + BSP + DB + BV
125
PP + DPS + Vŭzrazhdane + BV
125
GERB + PP
123
GERB + DPS + DB
123
GERB + Vŭzrazhdane + DB
122
PP + DPS + BSP + BV
118
PP + DPS + BSP
108

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Bulgaria was conducted by Trend. The survey took place between 01.12.2022 and 08.12.2022 among 1005 eligible voters. After this election poll would get GERB 25.8%, PP 19.2%, DPS 11.6%, Vŭzrazhdane 11.3%, BSP 9%, DB 7.3%, BV 4% and ITN 3.1%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.