Bulgaria
Election trend
Parties

Bulgaria: Poll by Trend from 11.02.2023

Polling data

GERB
25.6
-0.2
PP/DB
24.8
+24.8
DPS
12.8
+1.2
V
11.9
+0.6
BSP
8.9
-0.1
BV
4.0
±0.0
ITN
3.3
+0.2
Sonst.
8.7
-26.5
Development since the last election on 02.04.2023
GERB
+0.2
PP/DB
+1.3
DPS
-0.4
V
-1.7
BSP
+0.3
BV
+1.0
ITN
-0.6
Trend – 1003 respondents – 04.02.2023-11.02.2023
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Bulgaria is expected to take place in 2027.

Election poll results

Bulgaria - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Bulgaria from Trend shows the following results: GERB 25.6%, PP/DB 24.8%, DPS 12.8%, Vŭzrazhdane 11.9%, BSP 8.9%, BV 4% and ITN 3.3%. If an election were held in Bulgaria this Sunday, PP/DB might gain the most in voter favorability with +1.3 growth since the last election. Vŭzrazhdane, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-1.7) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Galab Donev is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from GERB, DB and PP. With 29.1% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Trend. For this purpose, 1003 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 7 days (04.02.2023 - 11.02.2023).

Coalition possibilities

240
BSP
24
DPS
35
GERB
71
PP/DB
68
BV
10
V
32
Majority requires 121 seats
GERB + PP/DB
139
GERB + DPS + Vŭzrazhdane
138
PP/DB + DPS + Vŭzrazhdane
135
GERB + DPS + BSP
130
PP/DB + DPS + BSP
127

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Bulgaria was conducted by Trend. The survey took place between 04.02.2023 and 11.02.2023 among 1003 eligible voters. After this election poll would get GERB 25.6%, PP/DB 24.8%, DPS 12.8%, Vŭzrazhdane 11.9%, BSP 8.9%, BV 4% and ITN 3.3%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.