Bulgaria
Election trend
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Bulgaria: Poll by Mediana from 24.02.2023

Polling data

GERB
24.6
+1.8
PP/DB
22.7
+22.7
V
12.5
±0.0
DPS
11.3
+0.2
BSP
8.9
-4.4
BV
4.5
-1.0
ITN
3.1
-3.8
Sonst.
12.4
-15.5
Development since the last election on 09.06.2024
GERB
+0.6
PP/DB
+8.8
V
-0.9
DPS
-5.3
BSP
+2.0
BV
New
ITN
-2.7
Mediana – 973 respondents – 19.02.2023-24.02.2023

Next election: 2027

The next parliamentary election in Bulgaria is expected to take place in 2027.

Election poll results

Bulgaria - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Bulgaria from Mediana shows the following results: GERB 24.6%, PP/DB 22.7%, Vŭzrazhdane 12.5%, DPS 11.3%, BSP 8.9%, BV 4.5% and ITN 3.1%. If an election were held in Bulgaria this Sunday, PP/DB might gain the most in voter favorability with +8.8 growth since the last election. DPS, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-5.3) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Galab Donev is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from GERB, DB and PP. With 29.1% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Mediana. For this purpose, 973 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 5 days (19.02.2023 - 24.02.2023).

Coalition possibilities

240
BSP
25
DPS
32
GERB
70
PP/DB
65
BV
12
V
36
Majority requires 121 seats
GERB + Vŭzrazhdane + DPS
138
GERB + PP/DB
135
PP/DB + Vŭzrazhdane + DPS
133
GERB + DPS + BSP
127
PP/DB + DPS + BSP
122
GERB + Vŭzrazhdane + BV
118

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Bulgaria was conducted by Mediana. The survey took place between 19.02.2023 and 24.02.2023 among 973 eligible voters. After this election poll would get GERB 24.6%, PP/DB 22.7%, Vŭzrazhdane 12.5%, DPS 11.3%, BSP 8.9%, BV 4.5% and ITN 3.1%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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