Bulgaria: Poll by Gallup from 03.03.2023

Polling data

PP/DB
27.2
+0.1
GERB
26.6
+0.5
DPS
13.4
±0.0
V
12.3
±0.0
BSP
7.3
-1.3
BV
3.7
-0.3
ITN
3.4
-0.5
Others
6.1
+1.5
Development since the last election on 27.10.2024
PP/DB
+13.5
GERB
+1.1
DPS
+2.2
V
-0.6
BSP
±0.0
BV
New
ITN
-3.2
Gallup – 1008 respondents – 24.02.2023-03.03.2023

Next election: 2027

The next parliamentary election in Bulgaria is expected to take place in 2027.

Election poll results

Bulgaria - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Bulgaria from Gallup shows the following results: PP/DB 27.2%, GERB 26.6%, DPS 13.4%, Vŭzrazhdane 12.3%, BSP 7.3%, BV 3.7% and ITN 3.4%. If an election were held in Bulgaria this Sunday, PP/DB might gain the most in voter favorability with +13.5 growth since the last election. ITN, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-3.2) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Galab Donev is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from GERB, BSP and ITN. With 39.1% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Gallup. For this purpose, 1008 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 7 days (24.02.2023 - 03.03.2023).

Coalition possibilities

240
Majority requires 121 seats
BSP
20
8.3%
DPS
37
15.4%
PP/DB
75
31.3%
GERB
74
30.8%
V
34
14.2%
PP/DB + GERB
62.1%
PP/DB + DPS + Vŭzrazhdane
60.8%
GERB + DPS + Vŭzrazhdane
60.4%
PP/DB + DPS + BSP
55.0%
GERB + DPS + BSP
54.6%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Bulgaria was conducted by Gallup. The survey took place between 24.02.2023 and 03.03.2023 among 1008 eligible voters. After this election poll would get PP/DB 27.2%, GERB 26.6%, DPS 13.4%, Vŭzrazhdane 12.3%, BSP 7.3%, BV 3.7% and ITN 3.4%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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