Bulgaria
Election trend
Parties

Bulgaria: Poll by Centre for Analysis and Marketing from 19.03.2023

Polling data

PP/DB
25.7
±0.0
GERB
24.7
±0.0
DPS
13.8
±0.0
V
12.5
±0.0
BSP
8.1
±0.0
L
4.0
±0.0
ITN
2.9
±0.0
BV
2.8
±0.0
NDSV
1.2
±0.0
Sonst.
4.3
±0.0
Development since the last election on 02.04.2023
PP/DB
+2.2
GERB
-0.7
DPS
+0.6
V
-1.1
BSP
-0.5
L
+1.9
ITN
-1.0
BV
-0.2
NDSV
Centre for Analysis and Marketing – 1020 respondents – 16.03.2023-19.03.2023
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Bulgaria is expected to take place in 2027.

Election poll results

Bulgaria - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Bulgaria from Centre for Analysis and Marketing shows the following results: PP/DB 25.7%, GERB 24.7%, DPS 13.8%, Vŭzrazhdane 12.5%, BSP 8.1%, Levitsata 4%, ITN 2.9%, BV 2.8% and NDSV 1.2%. If an election were held in Bulgaria this Sunday, PP/DB might gain the most in voter favorability with +2.2 growth since the last election. Vŭzrazhdane, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-1.1) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Galab Donev is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from GERB, DB and PP. With 27.8% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Centre for Analysis and Marketing. For this purpose, 1020 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 3 days (16.03.2023 - 19.03.2023).

Coalition possibilities

240
L
10
BSP
22
DPS
37
PP/DB
70
GERB
67
V
34
Majority requires 121 seats
PP/DB + DPS + Vŭzrazhdane
141
GERB + DPS + Vŭzrazhdane
138
PP/DB + GERB
137
PP/DB + DPS + BSP
129
GERB + DPS + BSP
126

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Bulgaria was conducted by Centre for Analysis and Marketing. The survey took place between 16.03.2023 and 19.03.2023 among 1020 eligible voters. After this election poll would get PP/DB 25.7%, GERB 24.7%, DPS 13.8%, Vŭzrazhdane 12.5%, BSP 8.1%, Levitsata 4%, ITN 2.9%, BV 2.8% and NDSV 1.2%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.