Bulgaria: Poll by Gallup from 09.07.2023

Polling data

GERB
26.4
-0.2
PP/DB
21.8
-5.4
V
14.9
+2.6
DPS
14.5
+1.1
BSP
9.7
+2.4
ITN
4.3
+0.9
BV
2.0
-1.7
Others
6.4
+0.3
Development since the last election on 27.10.2024
GERB
+0.9
PP/DB
+8.1
V
+2.0
DPS
+3.3
BSP
+2.4
ITN
-2.3
BV
New
Gallup – 809 respondents – 29.06.2023-09.07.2023

Next election: 2027

The next parliamentary election in Bulgaria is expected to take place in 2027.

Low number of respondents

Only 809 eligible voters were polled for this election poll.

Election poll results

Bulgaria - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Bulgaria from Gallup shows the following results: GERB 26.4%, PP/DB 21.8%, Vŭzrazhdane 14.9%, DPS 14.5%, BSP 9.7%, ITN 4.3% and BV 2%. If an election were held in Bulgaria this Sunday, PP/DB might gain the most in voter favorability with +8.1 growth since the last election. ITN, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-2.3) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Galab Donev is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from GERB, DB and PP. With 29.2% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Gallup. For this purpose, 809 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 10 days (29.06.2023 - 09.07.2023).

Coalition possibilities

240
Majority requires 121 seats
BSP
25
10.4%
ITN
11
4.6%
DPS
38
15.8%
GERB
70
29.2%
PP/DB
57
23.8%
V
39
16.3%
GERB + Vŭzrazhdane + DPS
61.3%
PP/DB + Vŭzrazhdane + DPS
55.8%
GERB + DPS + BSP
55.4%
PP/DB + DPS + BSP + ITN
54.6%
GERB + PP/DB
52.9%
GERB + Vŭzrazhdane + ITN
50.0%
PP/DB + DPS + BSP
50.0%
GERB + DPS + ITN
49.6%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Bulgaria was conducted by Gallup. The survey took place between 29.06.2023 and 09.07.2023 among 809 eligible voters. After this election poll would get GERB 26.4%, PP/DB 21.8%, Vŭzrazhdane 14.9%, DPS 14.5%, BSP 9.7%, ITN 4.3% and BV 2%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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