Bulgaria: Poll by Market LINKS from 02.07.2023

Polling data

GERB
23.9
+1.0
PP/DB
18.2
+18.2
DPS
14.8
+3.9
V
12.0
+4.4
BSP
7.7
-3.2
ITN
3.3
-0.5
Others
20.1
-23.8
Development since the last election on 27.10.2024
GERB
-1.6
PP/DB
+4.5
DPS
+3.6
V
-0.9
BSP
+0.4
ITN
-3.3
Market LINKS – 1011 respondents – 22.06.2023-02.07.2023

Next election: 2027

The next parliamentary election in Bulgaria is expected to take place in 2027.

Institute often rates GERB lower

In 40% of election polls Market LINKS rates GERB lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates ITN lower

In 37% of election polls Market LINKS rates ITN lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Bulgaria - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Bulgaria from Market LINKS shows the following results: GERB 23.9%, PP/DB 18.2%, DPS 14.8%, Vŭzrazhdane 12%, BSP 7.7% and ITN 3.3%. If an election were held in Bulgaria this Sunday, PP/DB might gain the most in voter favorability with +4.5 growth since the last election. ITN, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-3.3) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Galab Donev is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from GERB, DB and PP. With 31.3% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Market LINKS. For this purpose, 1011 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 10 days (22.06.2023 - 02.07.2023).

Coalition possibilities

240
Majority requires 121 seats
BSP
24
10%
DPS
46
19.2%
GERB
75
31.3%
PP/DB
57
23.8%
V
38
15.8%
PP/DB + DPS + Vŭzrazhdane
58.8%
GERB + PP/DB
55.0%
PP/DB + DPS + BSP
52.9%
GERB + DPS
50.4%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Bulgaria was conducted by Market LINKS. The survey took place between 22.06.2023 and 02.07.2023 among 1011 eligible voters. After this election poll would get GERB 23.9%, PP/DB 18.2%, DPS 14.8%, Vŭzrazhdane 12%, BSP 7.7% and ITN 3.3%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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