Bulgaria: Poll by Trend from 08.09.2023

Bulgaria: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
GERB
24.9
±0.0
PP/DB
18.3
+18.3
V
16.1
+0.8
DPS
13.4
-0.1
BSP
8.7
-0.2
ITN
4.2
-0.1
BV
2.1
-0.1
L
1.9
±0.0
Others
10.4
-18.6
Development since the last election on 27.10.2024
GERB
-0.6
PP/DB
+4.6
V
+3.2
DPS
+2.2
BSP
+1.4
ITN
-2.4
BV
New
L
New
Trend – 1002 respondents – 02.09.2023-08.09.2023

Next election: 2027

The next parliamentary election in Bulgaria is expected to take place in 2027.

Election poll results

Bulgaria - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Bulgaria from Trend shows the following results: GERB 24.9%, PP/DB 18.3%, Vŭzrazhdane 16.1%, DPS 13.4%, BSP 8.7%, ITN 4.2%, BV 2.1% and Levitsata 1.9%. If an election were held in Bulgaria this Sunday, PP/DB might gain the most in voter favorability with +4.6 growth since the last election. ITN, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-2.4) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Galab Donev is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from GERB, BSP and ITN. With 43.8% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Trend. For this purpose, 1002 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 6 days (02.09.2023 - 08.09.2023).

Coalition possibilities

240
Majority requires 121 seats
BSP
24
10%
ITN
11
4.6%
DPS
38
15.8%
GERB
70
29.2%
PP/DB
52
21.7%
V
45
18.8%
GERB + Vŭzrazhdane + DPS
63.8%
PP/DB + Vŭzrazhdane + DPS
56.3%
GERB + DPS + BSP
55.0%
GERB + Vŭzrazhdane + ITN
52.5%
PP/DB + DPS + BSP + ITN
52.1%
GERB + PP/DB
50.8%
GERB + DPS + ITN
49.6%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Bulgaria was conducted by Trend. The survey took place between 02.09.2023 and 08.09.2023 among 1002 eligible voters. After this election poll would get GERB 24.9%, PP/DB 18.3%, Vŭzrazhdane 16.1%, DPS 13.4%, BSP 8.7%, ITN 4.2%, BV 2.1% and Levitsata 1.9%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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