Bulgaria
Election trend
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Bulgaria: Poll by Alpha Research from 30.11.2023

Polling data

GERB
25.9
+0.8
PP/DB
21.1
+0.9
V
14.4
-1.0
DPS
12.8
+0.2
BSP
11.4
+2.6
ITN
5.8
+1.7
Sonst.
8.6
-5.2
Development since the last election on 09.06.2024
GERB
+1.9
PP/DB
+7.2
V
+1.0
DPS
-3.8
BSP
+4.5
ITN
±0.0
Alpha Research – 1000 respondents – 20.11.2023-30.11.2023

Next election: 2027

The next parliamentary election in Bulgaria is expected to take place in 2027.

Election poll results

Bulgaria - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Bulgaria from Alpha Research shows the following results: GERB 25.9%, PP/DB 21.1%, Vŭzrazhdane 14.4%, DPS 12.8%, BSP 11.4% and ITN 5.8%. If an election were held in Bulgaria this Sunday, PP/DB might gain the most in voter favorability with +7.2 growth since the last election. DPS, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-3.8) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Galab Donev is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from GERB, DB and PP. With 28.3% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Alpha Research. For this purpose, 1000 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 10 days (20.11.2023 - 30.11.2023).

Coalition possibilities

240
BSP
30
ITN
15
DPS
33
GERB
68
PP/DB
56
V
38
Majority requires 121 seats
GERB + Vŭzrazhdane + DPS
139
PP/DB + DPS + BSP + ITN
134
GERB + DPS + BSP
131
PP/DB + Vŭzrazhdane + DPS
127
GERB + PP/DB
124
GERB + Vŭzrazhdane + ITN
121
PP/DB + DPS + BSP
119

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Bulgaria was conducted by Alpha Research. The survey took place between 20.11.2023 and 30.11.2023 among 1000 eligible voters. After this election poll would get GERB 25.9%, PP/DB 21.1%, Vŭzrazhdane 14.4%, DPS 12.8%, BSP 11.4% and ITN 5.8%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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