Bulgaria: Poll by Market LINKS from 06.02.2024

Polling data

GERB
27.7
+1.3
PP/DB
20.0
-0.1
DPS
14.1
-0.4
V
11.5
-1.3
BSP
9.9
-0.6
ITN
4.4
-0.1
Sonst.
12.4
+1.2
Development since the last election on 02.04.2023
Market LINKS – 1016 respondents – 24.01.2024-06.02.2024
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Bulgaria is expected to take place in 2027.

Election poll results

Bulgaria - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Bulgaria from Market LINKS shows the following results: GERB 27.7%, PP/DB 20%, DPS 14.1%, Vŭzrazhdane 11.5%, BSP 9.9% and ITN 4.4%. If an election were held in Bulgaria this Sunday, GERB might gain the most in voter favorability with +2.3 growth since the last election. PP/DB, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-3.5) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Galab Donev is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from GERB, DB and PP. With 31.6% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Market LINKS. For this purpose, 1016 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 13 days (24.01.2024 - 06.02.2024).

Coalition possibilities

240
BSP
27
ITN
12
DPS
39
GERB
76
PP/DB
55
V
31
Majority requires 121 seats
GERB + DPS + Vŭzrazhdane
146
GERB + DPS + BSP
142
GERB + PP/DB
131
GERB + DPS + ITN
127
PP/DB + DPS + Vŭzrazhdane
125
PP/DB + DPS + BSP
121
GERB + Vŭzrazhdane + ITN
119

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Bulgaria was conducted by Market LINKS. The survey took place between 24.01.2024 and 06.02.2024 among 1016 eligible voters. After this election poll would get GERB 27.7%, PP/DB 20%, DPS 14.1%, Vŭzrazhdane 11.5%, BSP 9.9% and ITN 4.4%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.