Bulgaria: Poll by Exacta from 18.04.2024

Bulgaria: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
GERB
25.9
+1.5
PP/DB
16.4
+16.4
DPS
14.0
+0.8
V
13.8
-1.0
BSP
9.6
+0.1
ITN
5.2
+0.4
Others
15.1
-18.2
Development since the last election on 27.10.2024
GERB
+0.4
PP/DB
+2.7
DPS
+2.8
V
+0.9
BSP
+2.3
ITN
-1.4
Exacta – 1020 respondents – 11.04.2024-18.04.2024

Next election: 2027

The next parliamentary election in Bulgaria is expected to take place in 2027.

Institute often rates GERB higher

In 50% of election polls, Exacta rates GERB higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Bulgaria - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Bulgaria from Exacta shows the following results: GERB 25.9%, PP/DB 16.4%, DPS 14%, Vŭzrazhdane 13.8%, BSP 9.6% and ITN 5.2%. If an election were held in Bulgaria this Sunday, DPS might gain the most in voter favorability with +2.8 growth since the last election. ITN, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-1.4) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Galab Donev is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from GERB, BSP and ITN. With 47.9% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Exacta. For this purpose, 1020 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 7 days (11.04.2024 - 18.04.2024).

Coalition possibilities

240
Majority requires 121 seats
BSP
27
11.3%
ITN
14
5.8%
DPS
40
16.7%
GERB
74
30.8%
PP/DB
46
19.2%
V
39
16.3%
GERB + PP/DB + DPS
66.7%
GERB + PP/DB + Vŭzrazhdane
66.3%
GERB + DPS + Vŭzrazhdane
63.8%
GERB + PP/DB + BSP
61.3%
GERB + DPS + BSP
58.8%
GERB + PP/DB + ITN
55.8%
GERB + DPS + ITN
53.3%
GERB + Vŭzrazhdane + ITN
52.9%
PP/DB + DPS + BSP + ITN
52.9%
PP/DB + DPS + Vŭzrazhdane
52.1%
GERB + PP/DB
50.0%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Bulgaria was conducted by Exacta. The survey took place between 11.04.2024 and 18.04.2024 among 1020 eligible voters. After this election poll would get GERB 25.9%, PP/DB 16.4%, DPS 14%, Vŭzrazhdane 13.8%, BSP 9.6% and ITN 5.2%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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