Bulgaria: Poll by Alpha Research from 02.04.2024

Bulgaria: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
GERB
25.4
-1.6
PP/DB
17.5
-4.4
DPS
14.9
+3.9
V
14.6
±0.0
BSP
8.5
-2.4
ITN
5.2
-0.6
IS.BG
2.6
+2.6
L
1.9
+1.9
BV
1.3
+1.3
Others
8.1
-0.7
Development since the last election on 27.10.2024
GERB
-0.1
PP/DB
+3.8
DPS
+3.7
V
+1.7
BSP
+1.2
ITN
-1.4
IS.BG
New
L
New
BV
New
Alpha Research – 1000 respondents – 24.04.2024-02.04.2024

Next election: 2027

The next parliamentary election in Bulgaria is expected to take place in 2027.

Institute often rates DPS lower

In 30% of election polls Alpha Research rates DPS lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates IS.BG higher

In 33% of election polls, Alpha Research rates IS.BG higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates PP/DB higher

In 50% of election polls, Alpha Research rates PP/DB higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Bulgaria - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Bulgaria from Alpha Research shows the following results: GERB 25.4%, PP/DB 17.5%, DPS 14.9%, Vŭzrazhdane 14.6%, BSP 8.5%, ITN 5.2%, IS.BG 2.6%, Levitsata 1.9% and BV 1.3%. If an election were held in Bulgaria this Sunday, PP/DB might gain the most in voter favorability with +3.8 growth since the last election. ITN, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-1.4) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Galab Donev is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from GERB, BSP and ITN. With 45.4% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Alpha Research. For this purpose, 1000 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 22 days (24.04.2024 - 02.04.2024).

Coalition possibilities

240
Majority requires 121 seats
BSP
24
10%
ITN
14
5.8%
DPS
41
17.1%
GERB
71
29.6%
PP/DB
49
20.4%
V
41
17.1%
GERB + PP/DB + DPS
67.1%
GERB + PP/DB + Vŭzrazhdane
67.1%
GERB + DPS + Vŭzrazhdane
63.8%
GERB + PP/DB + BSP
60.0%
GERB + DPS + BSP
56.7%
GERB + PP/DB + ITN
55.8%
PP/DB + DPS + Vŭzrazhdane
54.6%
PP/DB + DPS + BSP + ITN
53.3%
GERB + DPS + ITN
52.5%
GERB + Vŭzrazhdane + ITN
52.5%
GERB + PP/DB
50.0%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Bulgaria was conducted by Alpha Research. The survey took place between 24.04.2024 and 02.04.2024 among 1000 eligible voters. After this election poll would get GERB 25.4%, PP/DB 17.5%, DPS 14.9%, Vŭzrazhdane 14.6%, BSP 8.5%, ITN 5.2%, IS.BG 2.6%, Levitsata 1.9% and BV 1.3%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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