Bulgaria
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Bulgaria: Poll by Gallup from 02.05.2024

Polling data

GERB
26.4
-1.5
PP/DB
17.5
-0.2
DPS
14.9
+0.1
V
14.7
+0.1
BSP
8.2
-1.6
ITN
4.5
-0.9
SBG
2.2
+2.2
SB
1.4
+1.4
VMRO
1.3
+1.3
Sonst.
8.9
-0.9
Development since the last election on 09.06.2024
GERB
+2.4
PP/DB
+3.6
DPS
-1.7
V
+1.3
BSP
+1.3
ITN
-1.3
SBG
New
SB
New
VMRO
New
Gallup – 808 respondents – 22.04.2024-02.05.2024

Next election: 2027

The next parliamentary election in Bulgaria is expected to take place in 2027.

Low number of respondents

Only 808 eligible voters were polled for this election poll.

Election poll results

Bulgaria - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Bulgaria from Gallup shows the following results: GERB 26.4%, PP/DB 17.5%, DPS 14.9%, Vŭzrazhdane 14.7%, BSP 8.2%, ITN 4.5%, SBG 2.2%, SB 1.4% and VMRO 1.3%. If an election were held in Bulgaria this Sunday, PP/DB might gain the most in voter favorability with +3.6 growth since the last election. DPS, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-1.7) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Galab Donev is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from GERB, DB and PP. With 29.0% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Gallup. For this purpose, 808 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 10 days (22.04.2024 - 02.05.2024).

Coalition possibilities

96
SBG
2
SB
1
BSP
9
ITN
4
DPS
16
GERB
28
PP/DB
19
VMRO
1
V
16
Majority requires 49 seats
GERB + PP/DB + DPS
63
GERB + PP/DB + Vŭzrazhdane
63
GERB + DPS + Vŭzrazhdane
60
GERB + PP/DB + BSP
56
GERB + DPS + BSP
53
GERB + PP/DB + ITN
51
PP/DB + DPS + Vŭzrazhdane
51
GERB + DPS + ITN
48
GERB + Vŭzrazhdane + ITN
48
PP/DB + DPS + BSP + ITN
48
GERB + PP/DB
47

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in EU-Parliament was conducted by Gallup. The survey took place between 22.04.2024 and 02.05.2024 among 808 eligible voters. After this election poll would get GERB 26.4%, PP/DB 17.5%, DPS 14.9%, Vŭzrazhdane 14.7%, BSP 8.2%, ITN 4.5%, SBG 2.2%, SB 1.4% and VMRO 1.3%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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