Bulgaria: Poll by Market LINKS from 09.05.2024

Bulgaria: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
GERB
29.5
+4.0
PP/DB
20.1
+3.0
DPS
15.0
+3.2
V
14.7
+4.4
BSP
9.2
+0.5
ITN
3.6
-0.3
SBG
2.0
+2.0
SB
1.6
+1.6
Others
4.3
-18.4
Development since the last election on 27.10.2024
GERB
+4.0
PP/DB
+6.4
DPS
+3.8
V
+1.8
BSP
+1.9
ITN
-3.0
SBG
New
SB
+0.6
Market LINKS – 1007 respondents – 27.04.2024-09.05.2024

Next election: 2027

The next parliamentary election in Bulgaria is expected to take place in 2027.

Institute often rates GERB lower

In 40% of election polls Market LINKS rates GERB lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates ITN lower

In 37% of election polls Market LINKS rates ITN lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates PP/DB higher

In 50% of election polls, Market LINKS rates PP/DB higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Vŭzrazhdane lower

In 56% of election polls Market LINKS rates Vŭzrazhdane lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Bulgaria - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Bulgaria from Market LINKS shows the following results: GERB 29.5%, PP/DB 20.1%, DPS 15%, Vŭzrazhdane 14.7%, BSP 9.2%, ITN 3.6%, SBG 2% and SB 1.6%. If an election were held in Bulgaria this Sunday, PP/DB might gain the most in voter favorability with +6.4 growth since the last election. ITN, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-3.0) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Galab Donev is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from GERB, BSP and ITN. With 43.7% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Market LINKS. For this purpose, 1007 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 12 days (27.04.2024 - 09.05.2024).

Coalition possibilities

240
Majority requires 121 seats
BSP
25
10.4%
DPS
40
16.7%
GERB
80
33.3%
PP/DB
55
22.9%
V
40
16.7%
GERB + DPS + Vŭzrazhdane
66.7%
GERB + DPS + BSP
60.4%
GERB + PP/DB
56.3%
PP/DB + DPS + Vŭzrazhdane
56.3%
GERB + DPS
50.0%
GERB + Vŭzrazhdane
50.0%
PP/DB + DPS + BSP
50.0%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Bulgaria was conducted by Market LINKS. The survey took place between 27.04.2024 and 09.05.2024 among 1007 eligible voters. After this election poll would get GERB 29.5%, PP/DB 20.1%, DPS 15%, Vŭzrazhdane 14.7%, BSP 9.2%, ITN 3.6%, SBG 2% and SB 1.6%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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