Bulgaria
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Bulgaria: Poll by Trend from 04.06.2024

Polling data

GERB
26.4
+1.2
PP/DB
15.9
-0.2
V
15.0
+0.7
DPS
14.3
+0.1
BSP
8.1
-0.6
ITN
5.9
+1.1
SBG
3.1
+3.1
SB
2.1
+2.1
VMRO
1.5
+1.5
L
1.1
-0.6
BV
1.0
-0.7
Sonst.
5.6
-7.7
Development since the last election on 09.06.2024
GERB
+2.4
PP/DB
+2.0
V
+1.6
DPS
-2.3
BSP
+1.2
ITN
+0.1
SBG
New
SB
New
VMRO
New
L
New
BV
New
Trend – 1007 respondents – 29.05.2024-04.06.2024

Next election: 2027

The next parliamentary election in Bulgaria is expected to take place in 2027.

Election poll results

Bulgaria - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Bulgaria from Trend shows the following results: GERB 26.4%, PP/DB 15.9%, Vŭzrazhdane 15%, DPS 14.3%, BSP 8.1%, ITN 5.9%, SBG 3.1%, SB 2.1%, VMRO 1.5%, Levitsata 1.1% and BV 1%. If an election were held in Bulgaria this Sunday, GERB might gain the most in voter favorability with +2.4 growth since the last election. DPS, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-2.3) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Galab Donev is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from GERB, DB and PP. With 28.0% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Trend. For this purpose, 1007 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 6 days (29.05.2024 - 04.06.2024).

Coalition possibilities

96
SBG
3
SB
2
L
1
BSP
8
ITN
6
DPS
14
GERB
27
PP/DB
17
BV
1
VMRO
1
V
16
Majority requires 49 seats
GERB + PP/DB + Vŭzrazhdane
60
GERB + PP/DB + DPS
58
GERB + Vŭzrazhdane + DPS
57
PP/DB + Vŭzrazhdane + DPS + ITN
53
GERB + PP/DB + BSP
52
GERB + DPS + ITN + SBG
50
GERB + DPS + BSP
49
GERB + PP/DB + ITN
50
PP/DB + Vŭzrazhdane + DPS + SBG
50
GERB + Vŭzrazhdane + ITN
49
PP/DB + DPS + BSP + ITN + SBG
48
GERB + DPS + ITN
47
GERB + PP/DB + SBG
47
PP/DB + Vŭzrazhdane + DPS
47

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in EU-Parliament was conducted by Trend. The survey took place between 29.05.2024 and 04.06.2024 among 1007 eligible voters. After this election poll would get GERB 26.4%, PP/DB 15.9%, Vŭzrazhdane 15%, DPS 14.3%, BSP 8.1%, ITN 5.9%, SBG 3.1%, SB 2.1%, VMRO 1.5%, Levitsata 1.1% and BV 1%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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