Bulgaria: Poll by Gallup from 06.10.2024

Bulgaria: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
GERB
25.7
-0.8
PP/DB
16.6
+0.2
V
15.4
+0.3
APS
8.3
+8.3
BSP
7.1
-1.3
DPS-NN
6.9
+6.9
ITN
6.3
+1.6
MECh
3.7
+3.7
SB
1.1
-0.4
Others
8.9
-18.5
Development since the last election on 27.10.2024
GERB
+0.2
PP/DB
+2.9
V
+2.5
APS
+1.1
BSP
-0.2
DPS-NN
New
ITN
-0.3
MECh
-0.7
SB
+0.1
Gallup – 806 respondents – 28.09.2024-06.10.2024

Next election: 2027

The next parliamentary election in Bulgaria is expected to take place in 2027.

Low number of respondents

Only 806 eligible voters were polled for this election poll.

Institute often rates PP/DB higher

In 63% of election polls, Gallup rates PP/DB higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Bulgaria - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Bulgaria from Gallup shows the following results: GERB 25.7%, PP/DB 16.6%, Vŭzrazhdane 15.4%, APS 8.3%, BSP 7.1%, DPS-NN 6.9%, ITN 6.3%, MECh 3.7% and SB 1.1%. If an election were held in Bulgaria this Sunday, PP/DB might gain the most in voter favorability with +2.9 growth since the last election. MECh, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-0.7) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Galab Donev is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from GERB, BSP and ITN. With 45.4% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Gallup. For this purpose, 806 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 8 days (28.09.2024 - 06.10.2024).

Coalition possibilities

240
Majority requires 121 seats
BSP
20
8.3%
APS
23
9.6%
DPS-NN
19
7.9%
ITN
17
7.1%
GERB
72
30%
PP/DB
46
19.2%
V
43
17.9%
GERB + PP/DB + Vŭzrazhdane
67.1%
GERB + PP/DB + APS
58.8%
GERB + PP/DB + BSP
57.5%
GERB + PP/DB + DPS-NN
57.1%
GERB + PP/DB + ITN
56.3%
GERB + APS + BSP + DPS-NN
55.8%
GERB + Vŭzrazhdane + ITN
55.0%
GERB + APS + BSP + ITN
55.0%
GERB + APS + DPS-NN + ITN
54.6%
GERB + BSP + DPS-NN + ITN
53.3%
PP/DB + APS + BSP + DPS-NN + ITN
52.1%
GERB + PP/DB
49.2%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Bulgaria was conducted by Gallup. The survey took place between 28.09.2024 and 06.10.2024 among 806 eligible voters. After this election poll would get GERB 25.7%, PP/DB 16.6%, Vŭzrazhdane 15.4%, APS 8.3%, BSP 7.1%, DPS-NN 6.9%, ITN 6.3%, MECh 3.7% and SB 1.1%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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