Bulgaria: Poll by Gallup from 20.02.2025

Bulgaria: Polling data

GERB
27.8
+2.1
V
13.2
-2.2
DPS
13.1
+13.1
PP
12.4
+12.4
BSP
8.6
+1.5
APS
6.2
-2.1
ITN
5.5
-0.8
MECh
4.9
+1.2
VEL
4.0
+4.0
Others
4.3
-29.2
Development since the last election on 27.10.2024
GERB
+2.3
V
+0.3
DPS
+1.9
PP
New
BSP
+1.3
APS
-1.0
ITN
-1.1
MECh
+0.5
VEL
+0.1
Gallup – 841 respondents – 13.02.2025-20.02.2025

Next election: 2027

The next parliamentary election in Bulgaria is expected to take place in 2027.

Low number of respondents

Only 841 eligible voters were polled for this election poll.

Institute often rates PP lower

In 33% of election polls Gallup rates PP lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Bulgaria - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Bulgaria from Gallup shows the following results: GERB 27.8%, Vŭzrazhdane 13.2%, DPS 13.1%, PP 12.4%, BSP 8.6%, APS 6.2%, ITN 5.5%, MECh 4.9% and Velichie 4%. If an election were held in Bulgaria this Sunday, GERB might gain the most in voter favorability with +2.3 growth since the last election. ITN, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-1.1) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Galab Donev is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from GERB, BSP and ITN. With 44.2% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Gallup. For this purpose, 841 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 7 days (13.02.2025 - 20.02.2025).

Coalition possibilities

240
Majority requires 121 seats
BSP
22
9.2%
APS
15
6.3%
PP
31
12.9%
ITN
13
5.4%
DPS
33
13.8%
GERB
71
29.6%
MECh
12
5%
V
33
13.8%
VEL
10
4.2%
GERB + DPS + Vŭzrazhdane
57.1%
GERB + DPS + PP
56.3%
GERB + Vŭzrazhdane + PP
56.3%
GERB + DPS + APS + ITN
55.0%
GERB + DPS + APS + MECh
54.6%
GERB + PP + APS + ITN
54.2%
GERB + DPS + ITN + MECh
53.8%
GERB + PP + APS + MECh
53.8%
GERB + PP + ITN + MECh
52.9%
GERB + DPS + BSP
52.5%
DPS + Vŭzrazhdane + PP + APS + ITN
52.1%
GERB + PP + BSP
51.7%
DPS + Vŭzrazhdane + PP + APS + MECh
51.7%
DPS + Vŭzrazhdane + PP + ITN + MECh
50.8%
DPS + Vŭzrazhdane + PP + APS + Velichie
50.8%
GERB + BSP + APS + ITN
50.4%
DPS + Vŭzrazhdane + PP + ITN + Velichie
50.0%
GERB + DPS + APS
49.6%
DPS + Vŭzrazhdane + PP + MECh + Velichie
49.6%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Bulgaria was conducted by Gallup. The survey took place between 13.02.2025 and 20.02.2025 among 841 eligible voters. After this election poll would get GERB 27.8%, Vŭzrazhdane 13.2%, DPS 13.1%, PP 12.4%, BSP 8.6%, APS 6.2%, ITN 5.5%, MECh 4.9% and Velichie 4%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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