Upcoming elections:

Polls, trends and elections for Carinthia

Current Election Trend for Carinthia

SPÖ
38.9
FPÖ
24.6
ÖVP
17.0
TEAM
10.1
GRÜNE
3.9
NEOS
2.6
2.4
Sonst.
0.5
Next election: 2028
The next parliamentary election in Carinthia is expected to take place in 2028.
Government could stay in office
In the current election trend, the government parties receive 61.7% of the votes.

Who is leading in the election trend in Carinthia?

In the current election trend in Carinthia, SPÖ leads with 38.9% and thus maintains the level of the last election (±0.0 percentage points).

FPÖ reaches 24.6% and thus maintains the level of the last election (±0.0 percentage points).

ÖVP reaches 17% and thus maintains the level of the last election (±0.0 percentage points).

Team Kärnten reaches 10.1% and thus maintains the level of the last election (±0.0 percentage points).

GRÜNE (3.9%), NEOS (2.6%) and Vision Österreich (2.4%) fail to meet the percentage threshold and could not enter parliament.

0.5% would vote for another small party in current polls (Other).

Which polls were considered in the election trend?

For the election trend, polls from various polling institutes from the last 3 months were analyzed. The latest poll from each institute was considered, and then, taking into account various factors, it was recalculated into a weighted average. The election trend is therefore more robust against outliers from individual institutes and provides a quick overview of the political mood in the country.

What values do the small parties have?

Representative polls are subject to statistical fluctuations and have a margin of error of 1.5 to 3 percentage points. Some polling institutes only mention small parties with a value of 3% or higher. PolitPro does not conduct its own polls and therefore has no more detailed information about small parties. To calculate reliable values, parties are only considered in the election trend if they are explicitly listed in at least half of all polls.

Polls are usually a projection. This means that the raw data is modified by the institutes based on various criteria to come as close as possible to the possible outcome of an election. However, the exact calculation methods of the polling institutes are not publicly known.

Could the government stay in office?

If there were an election this Sunday in Carinthia, the government from SPÖ and ÖVP would secure 61.7% of the virtual seats. The government could thus remain in office.

Which parties would enter parliament?

In the current election trend, 4 parties could enter parliament: SPÖ, FPÖ, ÖVP and Team Kärnten reach the necessary percentages to surpass the parliamentary threshold.

To calculate virtual seats, all parties in the election trend that achieve sufficient votes to surpass the parliamentary threshold are considered. Since polls only determine the voting intentions of parties, compensation and overhang mandates cannot be taken into account.

Are non-voters considered in the election trend?

When presenting election polls and results, non-voters are not considered: the votes cast for a party are calculated in relation to the number of valid second votes cast. Non-voters as well as invalid votes (including blank votes) are ignored. For comparison: In the last election, the voter turnout was 71.6% - 28.4% of the eligible population were non-voters or cast invalid votes.

Why does PolitPro show the political orientation of parties?

To make parties comparable across borders and provide a quick overview of political events, we show the rough political orientation of parties. These are rough categorizations and can never capture all the positions of the parties. The respective election programs of the parties provide a complete overview of their positions.

Latest polls for Carinthia

What is the latest poll for Carinthia?

The latest poll for the election in Carinthia was published by Lazarsfeld Gesellschaft. The parties achieve the following values: SPÖ 42%, FPÖ 26%, Team Kärnten 12%, ÖVP 10%, GRÜNE 4% and NEOS 4%.

Coalitions

31
SPÖ
15
ÖVP
7
FPÖ
9
Majority requires 16 seats
SPÖ + FPÖ
24
SPÖ + ÖVP
22
FPÖ + ÖVP + Team Kärnten
SPÖ + Team Kärnten
20

Which coalitions are currently possible in Carinthia?

In current election polls, various coalitions would be possible: Coalition from SPÖ and FPÖ, Coalition from SPÖ and ÖVP, Coalition from FPÖ, ÖVP and Team Kärnten and Coalition from SPÖ and Team Kärnten each achieve a majority in parliament.

Information on the Coalition Overview

The overview of possible coalitions for the election in Carinthia shows the main coalition possibilities. The coalitions are calculated based on the virtual seats of the election trend. Only parties that surpass the percentage threshold with their votes are considered. A complete overview of coalition possibilities can be found through the link below.

The number on the right indicates how many percent of the virtual seats a coalition would reach. From 50% of the votes, a coalition has realistic chances of forming the government. The icon above a bar on the right indicates the political orientation of a coalition (Left, right, center).

Election trend by party at a glance

Party 30 days 3 months 6 months 12 months Since election
SPÖ
FPÖ
ÖVP
Team Kärnten
GRÜNE
NEOS
Vision Österreich
Show more

Carinthia — National parliament voting intention

Information on the Development of the Election Trend

The line chart provides an overview of the development of the election trend in Carinthia in recent years. For this, the current election trend is recorded as a data point every Sunday and added to the chart. The course of the poll values can reveal short-term and long-term trends in polls and election polls. The last election in Carinthia took place on 05.03.2023.

Government and parliament

Parties in parliament
Seats in parliament : 36
Government & opposition
Government : 22
Opposition : 14
Political orientation
Left-leaning parties : 15
Right-leaning parties : 16

Which parties are in the parliament of Carinthia?

In the parliament of Carinthia, there are 36 representatives from 3 parties. 22 representatives are part of the government from SPÖ and ÖVP. The opposition from FPÖ and Team Kärnten has 14 representatives.

15 of the representatives are politically more left-leaning, while 16 representatives are politically more right-leaning.

Who governs in Carinthia?

In Carinthia, a coalition of SPÖ and ÖVP governs.

State election in Kärnten 2028

The State election in Kärnten 2028 will probably take place in 2028. Once the results are in, the election results will be posted on this page.

The country is lead by a Coalition of the center of ÖVP and SPÖ. In the last State election in Kärnten in 2023, SPÖ (38.9% - 15 seats), FPÖ (24.6% - 9 seats), ÖVP (17% - 7 seats) and Team Kärnten (10.1% - 5 seats) entered parliament. The turnout of that election was 71.6%.

FAQ

When is the next election in Carinthia?

The next election in Carinthia is expected to take place in the year 2028.

Who governs in Carinthia?

In Carinthia, a coalition of SPÖ and ÖVP governs.

What is the latest poll for Carinthia?

The latest poll for the election in Carinthia was published by Lazarsfeld Gesellschaft. The parties achieve the following values: SPÖ 42%, FPÖ 26%, Team Kärnten 12%, ÖVP 10%, GRÜNE 4% and NEOS 4%.

Which parties are in the parliament of Carinthia?

In the parliament of Carinthia, there are 36 representatives from 3 parties. 22 representatives are part of the government from SPÖ and ÖVP. The opposition from FPÖ and Team Kärnten has 14 representatives.