Official Final Results of the Croatian Election

General election in Croatia 2015

Croatian Election Results: November 8, 2015

Electoral Threshold

The electoral threshold for the election in Croatia is 5%.

Voter Turnout

Voter turnout was %.

Current Election Trend: Croatia
Poll results, coalitions, and election data
Historical Elections: Croatia
Results, coalitions, and historical data

Seat Distribution and Mathematical Majorities

151
Majority requires 76 seats

The current government loses its majority

The incumbent governing parties secured 35.8% of the seats.

HDZ + SDP
Centre
60.9%
HDZ + Most + IDS + HSU
Centre-Right
49.0%
HDZ + Most + IDS
Centre-Right
47.7%
HDZ + Most + HDSSB
Centre-Right
47.0%
HDZ + Most + HSU
Centre-Right
47.0%
HDZ + Most + HSS
Centre-Right
46.4%
HDZ + Most
Centre-Right
45.7%
SDP + Most + IDS + HSU
Centre
43.7%

Governments of the Current Legislative Period

Oreskovic
2015
HDZ
Most
Historical Government Cabinets: Croatia
Cabinets and governing parties since 1945

Polling Accuracy: How Precise Were the Forecasts?

Comparison: Pre-Election Polls vs. Actual Election Results

Party Results: Vote Shares and Gains/Losses

HDZ

Croatian Democratic Union
Christian Democratic
Pro-European
34.1
±

SDP

Social Democratic Party of Croatia
Social Democratic
Pro-European
32.8
±

Most

Bridge of Independent Lists
Conservative
13.4
±

Sonstige Parteien

Other Parties
Unknown
15.5
±0

Živi zid

Human Shield
Right-wing Populist
Eurosceptic
4.2
±

Bandić Milan 365

Milan Bandić 365 — Labour and Solidarity Party
Social Democratic
Pro-European
3.3
±

IDS

Istrian Democratic Assembly
Liberal
Pro-European
1.9
±

ORaH

Sustainable Development of Croatia
Green
Left
1.7
±

Reformisti

People's Party – Reformists
Liberal
Pro-European
1.5
±

HDSSB

Croatian Democratic Alliance of Slavonia and Baranja
Right-wing Populist
1.4
±

HNS

Croatian People's Party — Liberal Democrats
Liberal
Pro-European
< 0.1
±

Hrvatski laburisti

Croatian Labourists - Party of Labour
Left-wing
< 0.1
±

SDSS

Independent Democratic Serb Party
Social Democratic
Pro-European
< 0.1
±

HSLS

Croatian Social Liberal Party
Liberal
Pro-European
< 0.1
±

HSU

Croatian Party of Pensioners
Centre
Pro-European
< 0.1
±

Hrvatski rast

Croatian Growth
Christian Democratic
Pro-European
< 0.1
±

HSS

Croatian Peasant Party
Agrarian
Pro-European
< 0.1
±

Data Sources and Methodology

PolitPro

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ParlGov – Parliamentary Democracy Data

A comprehensive research database from the University of Bremen, documenting parties, elections, and governments for comparative analysis.

Additional Sources

Döring, Holger and Philip Manow. 2024. Parliaments and governments database (ParlGov).

CHES – Chapel Hill Expert Survey

The leading expert survey on party positions in Europe. Over 400 political scientists document party stances based on rigorous scientific criteria.

Additional Sources

Rovny, Jan, et al. “25 Years of Political Party Positions in Europe: The Chapel Hill Expert Survey, 1999-2024.”