Croatia
Election trend
Parties

Croatia: Poll by Promocija PLUS from 19.10.2022

Polling data

HDZ
30.0
+0.3
SDP
19.7
-0.6
M
13.6
+0.7
Most
11.3
+0.1
DP
6.6
-0.7
CENTAR
3.3
+0.5
SD
1.9
+0.2
HSS
1.8
+0.1
Fokus
1.6
-0.1
Development since the last election on 05.07.2020
HDZ
-5.8
SDP
-4.2
M
+6.9
Most
+4.2
DP
-3.9
CENTAR
SD
HSS
Fokus
Promocija PLUS – 1400 respondents – 17.10.2022-19.10.2022
Next election: 2028
The next parliamentary election in Croatia is expected to take place in 2028.
Institute often rates Možemo! higher
In 31% of election polls, Promocija PLUS rates Možemo! higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates SDP higher
In 36% of election polls, Promocija PLUS rates SDP higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Croatia - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Croatia from Promocija PLUS shows the following results: HDZ 30%, SDP 19.7%, Možemo! 13.6%, Most 11.3%, DP 6.6%, Centar 3.3%, SD 1.9%, HSS 1.8% and Fokus 1.6%. If an election were held in Croatia this Sunday, Možemo! might gain the most in voter favorability with +6.9 growth since the last election. HDZ, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-5.8) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Andrej Plenković is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from HDZ and HNS. With 32.8% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Promocija PLUS. For this purpose, 1400 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 2 days (17.10.2022 - 19.10.2022).

Coalition possibilities

151
M
25
SDP
37
HDZ
56
Most
21
DP
12
Majority requires 76 seats
HDZ + SDP
93
HDZ + Most
77
HDZ + DP
68

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Croatia was conducted by Promocija PLUS. The survey took place between 17.10.2022 and 19.10.2022 among 1400 eligible voters. After this election poll would get HDZ 30%, SDP 19.7%, Možemo! 13.6%, Most 11.3%, DP 6.6%, Centar 3.3%, SD 1.9%, HSS 1.8% and Fokus 1.6%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.