Croatia
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Elections

Croatia: Poll by Promocija PLUS from 04.11.2022

Polling data

HDZ
29.9
-0.1
SDP
20.0
+0.3
M
12.1
-1.5
Most
11.5
+0.2
DP
7.4
+0.8
CENTAR
2.7
-0.6
Fokus
1.7
+0.1
HSS
1.6
-0.2
SD
1.6
-0.3
RF
1.5
±0.0
HS
1.3
+0.2
Sonst.
8.7
±0.0
Development since the last election on 05.07.2020
HDZ
-5.9
SDP
-3.9
M
+5.4
Most
+4.4
DP
-3.1
CENTAR
Fokus
HSS
SD
RF
HS
Promocija PLUS – 1300 respondents – 02.11.2022-04.11.2022
Next election: 2024
The next parliamentary election in Croatia is expected to take place in 2024.
Institute often rates SDP higher
In 37% of election polls, Promocija PLUS rates SDP higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Croatia - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Croatia from Promocija PLUS shows the following results: HDZ 29.9%, SDP 20%, Možemo! 12.1%, Most 11.5%, DPMŠ 7.4%, Centar 2.7%, Fokus 1.7%, HSS 1.6%, SD 1.6%, RF 1.5% and Hrvatski suverenisti 1.3%. If an election were held in Croatia this Sunday, Možemo! might gain the most in voter favorability with +5.4 growth since the last election. HDZ, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-5.9) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Andrej Plenković is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from HDZ and HNS. With 37.0% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Promocija PLUS. For this purpose, 1300 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 2 days (02.11.2022 - 04.11.2022).

Coalition possibilities

HDZ + SDP
61.7
HDZ + Most
51.2

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in website.hr was conducted by Promocija PLUS. The survey took place between 02.11.2022 and 04.11.2022 among 1300 eligible voters. After this election poll would get HDZ 29.9%, SDP 20%, Možemo! 12.1%, Most 11.5%, DPMŠ 7.4%, Centar 2.7%, Fokus 1.7%, HSS 1.6%, SD 1.6%, RF 1.5% and Hrvatski suverenisti 1.3%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the survey method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.