Croatia
Election trend
Parties

Croatia: Poll by 2x1 Komunikacije from 27.12.2022

Polling data

HDZ
29.9
+1.3
SDP
17.9
-0.2
M
12.1
-0.4
Most
11.0
-0.5
DP
8.4
-0.1
HSU
3.7
-0.1
SD
2.7
-0.3
CENTAR
2.6
+0.1
HS
2.6
+0.1
RF
1.7
±0.0
IDS
1.6
±0.0
Fokus
1.0
±0.0
HSS
1.0
+0.6
HSLS
0.4
+0.1
KH
0.3
-0.6
BM365
0.3
+0.2
HNS
0.1
±0.0
Sonst.
2.7
-0.2
Development since the last election on 05.07.2020
HDZ
-5.9
SDP
-6.0
M
+5.4
Most
+3.9
DP
-2.1
HSU
SD
CENTAR
HS
RF
IDS
Fokus
HSS
HSLS
KH
-1.9
BM365
-0.3
HNS
-1.2
2x1 Komunikacije – 1041 respondents – 15.12.2022-27.12.2022
Next election: 2028
The next parliamentary election in Croatia is expected to take place in 2028.
Institute often rates BM 365 lower
In 73% of election polls 2x1 Komunikacije rates BM 365 lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates HDZ lower
In 68% of election polls 2x1 Komunikacije rates HDZ lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates HNS lower
In 50% of election polls 2x1 Komunikacije rates HNS lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates HSS lower
In 40% of election polls 2x1 Komunikacije rates HSS lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates KH lower
In 37% of election polls 2x1 Komunikacije rates KH lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates SDP higher
In 44% of election polls, 2x1 Komunikacije rates SDP higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Croatia - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Croatia from 2x1 Komunikacije shows the following results: HDZ 29.9%, SDP 17.9%, Možemo! 12.1%, Most 11%, DP 8.4%, HSU 3.7%, SD 2.7%, Centar 2.6%, Hrvatski suverenisti 2.6%, RF 1.7%, IDS 1.6%, Fokus 1%, HSS 1%, HSLS 0.4%, KH 0.3%, BM 365 0.3% and HNS 0.1%. If an election were held in Croatia this Sunday, Možemo! might gain the most in voter favorability with +5.4 growth since the last election. SDP, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-6.0) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Andrej Plenković is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from HDZ and HNS. With 37.7% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by 2x1 Komunikacije. For this purpose, 1041 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 12 days (15.12.2022 - 27.12.2022).

Coalition possibilities

151
M
23
SDP
34
HDZ
57
Most
21
DP
16
Majority requires 76 seats
HDZ + SDP
91
HDZ + Most
78
HDZ + DP
73

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Croatia was conducted by 2x1 Komunikacije. The survey took place between 15.12.2022 and 27.12.2022 among 1041 eligible voters. After this election poll would get HDZ 29.9%, SDP 17.9%, Možemo! 12.1%, Most 11%, DP 8.4%, HSU 3.7%, SD 2.7%, Centar 2.6%, Hrvatski suverenisti 2.6%, RF 1.7%, IDS 1.6%, Fokus 1%, HSS 1%, HSLS 0.4%, KH 0.3%, BM 365 0.3% and HNS 0.1%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.