Croatia
Election trend
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Elections

Croatia: Poll by Ipsos from 20.08.2023

Polling data

HDZ
33.6
-1.2
SDP
13.8
+1.2
M
12.5
±0.0
Most
10.5
+1.0
DPMŠ
7.8
-0.6
IDS
3.4
+1.4
HSU
2.5
-0.6
HSS
2.0
-0.8
SD
1.9
+1.9
HNS
1.3
-0.6
Sonst.
10.7
+0.0
Development since the last election on 05.07.2020
HDZ
-2.2
SDP
-10.1
M
+5.8
Most
+3.4
DPMŠ
-2.7
IDS
HSU
HSS
SD
HNS
±0.0
Ipsos – 989 respondents – 01.08.2023-20.08.2023
Next election: 2024
The next parliamentary election in Croatia is expected to take place in 2024.
Election poll results

Croatia - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Croatia from Ipsos shows the following results: HDZ 33.6%, SDP 13.8%, Možemo! 12.5%, Most 10.5%, DPMŠ 7.8%, IDS 3.4%, HSU 2.5%, HSS 2%, SD 1.9% and HNS 1.3%. If an election were held in Croatia this Sunday, Možemo! might gain the most in voter favorability with +5.8 growth since the last election. SDP, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-10.1) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Andrej Plenković is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from HDZ and HNS. With 43.0% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Ipsos. For this purpose, 989 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 19 days (01.08.2023 - 20.08.2023).

Coalition possibilities

HDZ + SDP
60.6
HDZ + Most
56.4
HDZ + DPMŠ
53.0

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results
This election poll on the parliamentary election in Croatia was conducted by Ipsos. The survey took place between 01.08.2023 and 20.08.2023 among 989 eligible voters. After this election poll would get HDZ 33.6%, SDP 13.8%, Možemo! 12.5%, Most 10.5%, DPMŠ 7.8%, IDS 3.4%, HSU 2.5%, HSS 2%, SD 1.9% and HNS 1.3%.
How reliable are election polls?
Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the survey method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.
What should you look out for in election polls?
Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.