Croatia: Poll by 2x1 Komunikacije from 26.10.2023

Croatia: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
HDZ
29.2
-0.7
SDP
18.3
+0.7
Most
11.7
-0.3
M
10.4
+0.2
DP
9.4
+0.8
HSU
4.8
+1.1
CENTAR
2.5
+0.2
IDS
2.0
-0.6
RF
1.9
+0.3
Fokus
1.8
+0.2
SD
1.8
-0.4
HSS
1.5
+0.1
Others
4.7
-1.6
Development since the last election on 17.04.2024
HDZ
-5.2
SDP
-7.1
Most
+3.7
M
+1.3
DP
-0.2
HSU
New
CENTAR
New
IDS
-0.2
RF
New
Fokus
-0.5
SD
-1.6
HSS
New
2x1 Komunikacije – 1041 respondents – 16.10.2023-26.10.2023

Next election: 2028

The next parliamentary election in Croatia is expected to take place in 2028.

Institute often rates HDZ lower

In 59% of election polls 2x1 Komunikacije rates HDZ lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates HSS lower

In 40% of election polls 2x1 Komunikacije rates HSS lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Možemo! lower

In 40% of election polls 2x1 Komunikacije rates Možemo! lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates SDP higher

In 37% of election polls, 2x1 Komunikacije rates SDP higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Croatia - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Croatia from 2x1 Komunikacije shows the following results: HDZ 29.2%, SDP 18.3%, Most 11.7%, Možemo! 10.4%, DP 9.4%, HSU 4.8%, Centar 2.5%, IDS 2%, RF 1.9%, Fokus 1.8%, SD 1.8% and HSS 1.5%. If an election were held in Croatia this Sunday, Most might gain the most in voter favorability with +3.7 growth since the last election. SDP, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-7.1) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Andrej Plenković is currently governing with a Centre-right coalition from HDZ and DP. With 49.0% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by 2x1 Komunikacije. For this purpose, 1041 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 10 days (16.10.2023 - 26.10.2023).

Coalition possibilities

151
Majority requires 76 seats
M
20
13.2%
SDP
35
23.2%
HDZ
56
37.1%
Most
22
14.6%
DP
18
11.9%
HDZ + SDP
60.3%
HDZ + Most
51.7%
HDZ + DP
49.0%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Croatia was conducted by 2x1 Komunikacije. The survey took place between 16.10.2023 and 26.10.2023 among 1041 eligible voters. After this election poll would get HDZ 29.2%, SDP 18.3%, Most 11.7%, Možemo! 10.4%, DP 9.4%, HSU 4.8%, Centar 2.5%, IDS 2%, RF 1.9%, Fokus 1.8%, SD 1.8% and HSS 1.5%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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