Croatia
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Croatia: Poll by Promocija PLUS from 19.03.2024

Polling data

HDZ
31.9
+0.1
SDP
24.9
+5.5
M
10.3
-0.4
DP
8.8
-0.8
Most
8.2
-2.1
OiP
1.5
+1.5
CENTAR
1.4
-0.3
HNS
1.4
-0.1
Fokus
1.3
-0.5
HSS
1.3
-0.3
HSU
1.3
+0.1
IDS
1.3
-0.2
RF
1.1
-0.1
SD
0.9
-0.4
HS
0.6
-0.6
HSLS
0.6
+0.6
KH
0.3
+0.3
Sonst.
2.9
-2.3
Development since the last election on 17.04.2024
HDZ
-2.5
SDP
-0.5
M
+1.2
DP
-0.8
Most
+0.2
OiP
New
CENTAR
New
HNS
New
Fokus
-1.0
HSS
New
HSU
New
IDS
-0.9
RF
New
SD
-2.5
HS
New
HSLS
New
KH
New
Promocija PLUS – 1000 respondents – 16.03.2024-19.03.2024

Next election: 2028

The next parliamentary election in Croatia is expected to take place in 2028.

Institute often rates HSU lower

In 85% of election polls Promocija PLUS rates HSU lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Možemo! higher

In 31% of election polls, Promocija PLUS rates Možemo! higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates SDP higher

In 36% of election polls, Promocija PLUS rates SDP higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Croatia - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Croatia from Promocija PLUS shows the following results: HDZ 31.9%, SDP 24.9%, Možemo! 10.3%, DP 8.8%, Most 8.2%, OiP 1.5%, Centar 1.4%, HNS 1.4%, Fokus 1.3%, HSS 1.3%, HSU 1.3%, IDS 1.3%, RF 1.1%, SD 0.9%, Hrvatski suverenisti 0.6%, HSLS 0.6% and KH 0.3%. If an election were held in Croatia this Sunday, Možemo! might gain the most in voter favorability with +1.2 growth since the last election. HDZ, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-2.5) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Andrej Plenković is currently governing with a Centre-right coalition from HDZ and DP. With 48.4% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Promocija PLUS. For this purpose, 1000 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 3 days (16.03.2024 - 19.03.2024).

Coalition possibilities

151
M
18
SDP
45
HDZ
58
Most
14
DP
16
Majority requires 76 seats
HDZ + SDP
103
HDZ + DP + Most
88
HDZ + DP
74

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Croatia was conducted by Promocija PLUS. The survey took place between 16.03.2024 and 19.03.2024 among 1000 eligible voters. After this election poll would get HDZ 31.9%, SDP 24.9%, Možemo! 10.3%, DP 8.8%, Most 8.2%, OiP 1.5%, Centar 1.4%, HNS 1.4%, Fokus 1.3%, HSS 1.3%, HSU 1.3%, IDS 1.3%, RF 1.1%, SD 0.9%, Hrvatski suverenisti 0.6%, HSLS 0.6% and KH 0.3%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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