Croatia
Election trend
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Croatia: Poll by Promocija PLUS from 08.05.2024

Polling data

HDZ
32.6
+0.7
SDP
25.6
+0.7
M
10.3
±0.0
DP
9.2
+0.4
Most
6.2
-2.0
HSS
1.5
+0.2
Fokus
1.4
+0.1
HSU
1.3
±0.0
PP
1.3
+1.3
CENTAR
1.2
-0.2
IDS
1.2
-0.1
HS
1.1
+0.5
NPS
1.1
+1.1
HNS
0.9
-0.5
Sonst.
5.1
-2.2
Development since the last election on 17.04.2024
HDZ
-1.8
SDP
+0.2
M
+1.2
DP
-0.4
Most
-1.8
HSS
New
Fokus
-0.9
HSU
New
PP
New
CENTAR
New
IDS
-1.0
HS
New
NPS
New
HNS
New
Promocija PLUS – 1300 respondents – 06.05.2024-08.05.2024

Next election: 2028

The next parliamentary election in Croatia is expected to take place in 2028.

Institute often rates HSU lower

In 89% of election polls Promocija PLUS rates HSU lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Možemo! higher

In 32% of election polls, Promocija PLUS rates Možemo! higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates SDP higher

In 36% of election polls, Promocija PLUS rates SDP higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Croatia - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Croatia from Promocija PLUS shows the following results: HDZ 32.6%, SDP 25.6%, Možemo! 10.3%, DP 9.2%, Most 6.2%, HSS 1.5%, Fokus 1.4%, HSU 1.3%, PP 1.3%, Centar 1.2%, IDS 1.2%, Hrvatski suverenisti 1.1%, NPS 1.1% and HNS 0.9%. If an election were held in Croatia this Sunday, Možemo! might gain the most in voter favorability with +1.2 growth since the last election. Most, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-1.8) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Andrej Plenković is currently governing with a Centre-right coalition from HDZ and DP. With 49.9% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Promocija PLUS. For this purpose, 1300 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 2 days (06.05.2024 - 08.05.2024).

Coalition possibilities

151
M
18
SDP
47
HDZ
59
Most
11
DP
16
Majority requires 76 seats
HDZ + SDP
106
HDZ + DP + Most
86
HDZ + DP
75

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Croatia was conducted by Promocija PLUS. The survey took place between 06.05.2024 and 08.05.2024 among 1300 eligible voters. After this election poll would get HDZ 32.6%, SDP 25.6%, Možemo! 10.3%, DP 9.2%, Most 6.2%, HSS 1.5%, Fokus 1.4%, HSU 1.3%, PP 1.3%, Centar 1.2%, IDS 1.2%, Hrvatski suverenisti 1.1%, NPS 1.1% and HNS 0.9%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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